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I can also confirm now that they only appear in tarot and spectral packs, never in the store or from any other spectral/tarot generation method.
Alright, so about 1/231 tarot/spectral cards from packs on average? It's really rough tbh. I might get like 4 gold stake decks before I get all the legendaries.
Small tarot pack is just 3/333, small spectral is 2/333, and the larger pack variants are 5/333 and 4/333.
Main issue with gold stake is that pack costs go up each ante, so you can't buy as many and will thus see less soul cards.
I meant that 0.997^231≈0.5 so if it's 0.3% chance per card you would have a 50% chance to get one in 231 cards.
Well, I had:
79 3-tarot
33 5-tarot
23 2-spectral
11 4-spectral
So they definitely have different probabilities of showing up in the shop.