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The reason it shows that much is due to preloads . For example , if ya download a 19 gb preload , it needs another 20+ gb free on the partition for the unpacking .
I never preloaded Bioshock Infinite for example.Bought it later.Full thing was like 14,6 GB's,and it was writing in the store page for 30 GB's.This alone explains it all.
That's because it lists HDD space required to install the game, not the download size.
Compression is a wondrous thing.
This is just speculation , they haven't mentioned the exact time . It could be in any moment of the day .
damn, its already 3 jan in my country aaand i have to wait for whole day
But i think its still will be less than size of installed game.
http://i.imgur.com/xfaGmuB.png