What are the odds of getting a safe from cards?

[Miles]

Does anyone know what the exact odds, if there are any, of getting a safe from end of heist cards?

[GunsForBucks]

I think it is 100% if you play enough hours, there is also a wait of one week between safes

[0ptimistPrime (the Gray)]

As far as I've heard:

Nobody knows the exact numbers, because it's Steam that rolls the RNG dice, not Payday.
I've heard that you have to meet a minimum "# of hours played in PD2 in the last X days" requirement before you can get a safe to drop, and you can only get one safe per 7 days. (example: Currently I'm getting safes each Tuesday. No amount of playing between my safe drop on Tues and all the way through the following Monday will get me another safe. The earliest I'll see another safe is next Tues.) If you meet the minimum #hours and you haven't gotten a safe in the last 7 days, then there's a %chance of getting a safe as a card. And again, I don't know if anyone knows the exact odds/percentage.

*Someone please feel free to correct me if I'm incorrect with any of that.

EDIT: Per moderator, Steam-drop and 7day cooldown are correct.

[Sausage]

Higher chance than chance that people will use search function

[Miles]

Originally posted by Optimist Prime (the Gray):

As far as I've heard:

Nobody knows the exact numbers, because it's Steam that rolls the RNG dice, not Payday.
I've heard that you have to meet a minimum "# of hours played in PD2 in the last X days" requirement before you can get a safe to drop, and you can only get one safe per 7 days. (example: Currently I'm getting safes each Tuesday. No amount of playing between my safe drop on Tues and all the way through the following Monday will get me another safe. The earliest I'll see another safe is next Tues.) If you meet the minimum #hours and you haven't gotten a safe in the last 7 days, then there's a %chance of getting a safe as a card. And again, I don't know if anyone knows the exact odds/percentage.

*Someone please feel free to correct me if I'm incorrect with any of that.

EDIT: Per moderator, Steam-drop and 7day cooldown are correct.

Great answer thanks :)

[Bindal]

During the cooldown - 0%
After the cooldown (7 days) - almost 100%. Not absolute and only after some playtime total.