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Take a leaf out of Caesar's own book and divide and conquer. Try and keep some tribes friendly or at least neutral for as long as possible and eliminate your enemies one-by-one. Deal with the Averni and some of the lesser tribes before you have to take on the Gallic Confederation.
Build a strategy around creating impregnable strongholds that you can use to breakdown his offensives while providing a foundation for your own advances. My strategy was to hold onto Octudron as the gateway to Italy while I took the offensive in Gaul against the Averni and Gallic Confederations. First capturing and holding Burdigala (Bordeaux) in the west and Maslilia in the south were important milestones. The turning point was when I took Namentum: that gave me enough easily defensible territory and stability to contain his incursions and allowed me enough time to recover and deal with the next onslaught while denying him a hugely valuable base.
Seasons play a very important role in Caesar and can give you a big advantage used well. AI armies went into hibernation during the winter months which is a good time for you to consolidate or grab some key undefended or weakly held strongpoints. In the spring and summer expect to lose some settlements when he takes the offensive. But as long as you hold onto your main strongholds you will have a good position to regain much of what you've lost, so use the winter to regain lost territories and prepare for the next onslaught. It's a case of withstanding his attacks while waiting for your opportunity to counter attack and conquer. As he loses more territory his attacks will weaken. It's also important to try and wrap things up before he's able to recruit large numbers of super-heavy infantry like the Oathsworn which I found overpowering and almost invincible.
You also have a large number of agents at your disposal and needless to say they are indispensable to hold off and delay some of his bigger forces.I made a lot of use of dignitaries' ability to bribe his heavy infantry units into disbanding which gave me a big edge when the clash came.
Interesting, my AI was passiv to invisible during winters but in other respects I encountered the same as you: extreme real-time attrition if I went "off road" in winter and virtually none for the Ai even during sieges, although native armies are supposed to be more acclimatised and less prone to attrition. Agents can give you a big edge as the AI's agent use seems limited to 2-3 actions it repeats over and over. Like your avatar - one of my heroes growing up!
What level yre you playing on? Most of the factions I played had chosen swords and spearman and later Oathswoarn who are all but invincible. Romans don't have anything of that power.