The First Descendant

The First Descendant

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Misha Jul 13, 2024 @ 11:29am
Sharon Stabilizer 20% Chance from Echo Swamp Chapel
Is this mission bugged or is 13 runs not enough to proc a 1/5 chance?
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Showing 1-15 of 16 comments
Sh1ki Jul 13, 2024 @ 11:34am 
git gud
Pitty Jul 13, 2024 @ 11:34am 
Originally posted by Misha:
Is this mission bugged or is 13 runs not enough to proc a 1/5 chance?
its 20% per run -.-"

its not like you run it 5 times and you have it
Misha Jul 13, 2024 @ 11:39am 
Originally posted by Pitty:
Originally posted by Misha:
Is this mission bugged or is 13 runs not enough to proc a 1/5 chance?
its 20% per run -.-"

its not like you run it 5 times and you have it
I'm not saying there's a pity system or complaining there should be.

Mathematically, rolling dice 5 times and not getting a 5 is possible, but if you roll 15 times and never roll a five it becomes a statistical anomaly. Every additional roll has a higher chance of getting a 5 than previously because the longer you go without actually getting that 5 starts to become statistically lower than simply getting the 5.
gokam Jul 13, 2024 @ 11:44am 
You are not looking at it correctly, I hate optimist!
you have an 80% per each run to not receive it, so highly unlikely but still a possibility that you could go not get it on 80 straight runs.
Sweets Jul 13, 2024 @ 11:46am 
Hate to also be a bringer of bad knows but one her transcended skill mods also drops in that horrid dungeon.
Misha Jul 13, 2024 @ 11:48am 
Originally posted by Tripfy:
It took me 15 runs to get that part, it really is that stupid. Same with Freyna, her drop rate was also awful. In general, Nexon drop rates are like windows time: it can be 1 minute or 1 day, who the hell knows. It does remind me of their old raid drop chances of 0.1% though...
I actually ran a few missions with a player farming Freyna, I got some of her stuff during my first few runs but he said he was already in the 20's of tries.

It should not be common for extreme outliers like this to actually happen this often.
gokam Jul 13, 2024 @ 11:50am 
Originally posted by Misha:
Originally posted by Pitty:
its 20% per run -.-"

its not like you run it 5 times and you have it
I'm not saying there's a pity system or complaining there should be.

Mathematically, rolling dice 5 times and not getting a 5 is possible, but if you roll 15 times and never roll a five it becomes a statistical anomaly. Every additional roll has a higher chance of getting a 5 than previously because the longer you go without actually getting that 5 starts to become statistically lower than simply getting the 5.

Each side of the dice has a equal chance for every roll. this is a different it would be like removing the 5 dice and then giving you a 20% chance that the 5 would be on the dice.
Johnny Bermuda Jul 13, 2024 @ 11:51am 
Run that mission 15 times, no luck. Got even the red module which is 1% but no Sharon part.
did ower 20 to get it.
Originally posted by Misha:
Is this mission bugged or is 13 runs not enough to proc a 1/5 chance?
Obviously not. Keep grinding.
CringeLord Jul 13, 2024 @ 12:00pm 
yeah, I'm on my 20+ run rn. This Sharon part seems to get the most complaints and suspicions. Hell, I even got 4 3% energy booster recipies from bosses already, but not that Sharon piece -_-
漂流者 Jul 13, 2024 @ 12:00pm 
better then grinding for a yellow module & getting tanscended before getting the needed yellow (not that i'm complaining i got the one for Gley so i'm quite happy, but still point stands xD)
Last edited by 漂流者; Jul 13, 2024 @ 12:03pm
Nirvana Aug 5, 2024 @ 7:05am 
I got the 2% Shape Stabilizer 4 and the 2.5% Electric conductor. Still no Sharen Stabilizer. This 20% chance is ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥. It's not even 2%. Or there is an "adaptive drop rate". Nexon are scammers, we all know that. They would gladly pay a fine, it's profitable. I'm really sad, because this could be an S tier game if it was lacking the f2p gotcha.
Last edited by Nirvana; Aug 5, 2024 @ 7:07am
vitriol17 Aug 5, 2024 @ 7:29am 
I ran this a bunch of times trying to get it, only to discover I must have picked it up on one of the first runs without realising . DOH.
Omega24 Aug 5, 2024 @ 7:36am 
Something fun the devs are currently looking into is a pity system that triggers the more you do an activity.
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Date Posted: Jul 13, 2024 @ 11:29am
Posts: 16