The First Descendant

The First Descendant

Statistiche:
drop rate of Enzo Enhanced piece
I open 20 Amorphous 028 looking for Enzo enhanced piece, is drop rate informed is 38% but this not seem real. Anyone know is it bugged?
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Sounds like me with the normal Viessa BP. I farmed her 30+% BP 20-22 times. It just sounds like you are in the bad luck RNG group with me. Luna code I've tried for 8+ days without it dropping and gave up farming everything.

ETA-0 doesn't bring anything I need so I am only logging in for event rewards, to check ETA-0 on Friday and sticking around till Season 2 next month in the hope that the new pity system will allow me to get the normal descendant parts I am having no luck farming like Luna's code, one of Jayber's BP and his code. If it doesn't help I'm gone till they implement something "useful" for those of use with bad luck RNG.
Someone gave me a tip of using the tracking system to track what you're actively farming. Might just be placebo, but seems to have worked for me
That's currently me but with the Smithereens' BP. Got Luna 5 times in a row instead.
Not bugged, just unlucky.

38% means that 62 out of 100 times you won't get it.
Messaggio originale di WaggishBean13:
Messaggio originale di tisunaka:
I open 20 Amorphous 028 looking for Enzo enhanced piece, is drop rate informed is 38% but this not seem real. Anyone know is it bugged?
at 38%, by 20 runs you should have a culmutative (not addative) chance at least 85%+

the chance at run 20 is exactly 38% as it was at run 1.
Ultima modifica da HaloSign; 11 nov 2024, ore 14:10
Well i got enzo by accident while farming somethimg else.. but had to do swampwalker about 50-60 times till i got that ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ ult viessa part.

Looks like everyone has their issues on some parts.
Ultima modifica da AAND; 11 nov 2024, ore 8:32
In this 20 runs I drop , 7 smithereens (that the loot rate is the same) and 3 Greg's piece that the rate is half.
what the explicacion for this?
CHAT GPT
If you have a 38% chance of getting the number x in a single attempt, that means the probability of **not** getting x in a single attempt is:


x = 1 - 0.38 = 0.62


Now, to find the probability of not getting x in any of the 10 attempts, you multiply the probability of not getting x in each attempt:


P (not getting) x in 10 attempts = 0.62^{10}


Calculating this:


0.62^{10} = 0.0185

This means the probability of not getting x in any of the 10 attempts is about 1.85%.

Therefore, the probability of getting x in at least one** of the 10 attempts is the complement of that:


P(getting x in at least one attempt) = 1 - 0.0185 = 0.9815


So, the chance of getting x in at least one of the 10 attempts is 98.15.
Ultima modifica da tisunaka; 11 nov 2024, ore 13:17
you can take my 4 enzo piece that i got back to back in a row trying to farm KGL part that also 32% , oh wait we dont have trading -w-
Messaggio originale di Jundah 101:
you can take my 4 enzo piece that i got back to back in a row trying to farm KGL part that also 32% , oh wait we dont have trading -w-
I hope that in the future... like Warframe.
Messaggio originale di tisunaka:
Messaggio originale di Jundah 101:
you can take my 4 enzo piece that i got back to back in a row trying to farm KGL part that also 32% , oh wait we dont have trading -w-
I hope that in the future... like Warframe.
they said that they are still monitoring the value of it after all the QoL they gonna do with RNG and ETA, etc so if player keep asking it enough they will put trading system potentially
Messaggio originale di tisunaka:
I open 20 Amorphous 028 looking for Enzo enhanced piece, is drop rate informed is 38% but this not seem real. Anyone know is it bugged?

Considering the number of runs (20), the probability (0.38) and the underlying binomial distribution, the probability of not getting this item is 0,000059. So, you must be really sad but as you see the probability of such case is not zero.

And as mentioned: every run has the probability of 0.38 to get it…. This remains the same every run!
Ultima modifica da HaloSign; 11 nov 2024, ore 15:38
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Data di pubblicazione: 11 nov 2024, ore 5:51
Messaggi: 11