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ETA-0 doesn't bring anything I need so I am only logging in for event rewards, to check ETA-0 on Friday and sticking around till Season 2 next month in the hope that the new pity system will allow me to get the normal descendant parts I am having no luck farming like Luna's code, one of Jayber's BP and his code. If it doesn't help I'm gone till they implement something "useful" for those of use with bad luck RNG.
38% means that 62 out of 100 times you won't get it.
the chance at run 20 is exactly 38% as it was at run 1.
Looks like everyone has their issues on some parts.
what the explicacion for this?
CHAT GPT
If you have a 38% chance of getting the number x in a single attempt, that means the probability of **not** getting x in a single attempt is:
x = 1 - 0.38 = 0.62
Now, to find the probability of not getting x in any of the 10 attempts, you multiply the probability of not getting x in each attempt:
P (not getting) x in 10 attempts = 0.62^{10}
Calculating this:
0.62^{10} = 0.0185
This means the probability of not getting x in any of the 10 attempts is about 1.85%.
Therefore, the probability of getting x in at least one** of the 10 attempts is the complement of that:
P(getting x in at least one attempt) = 1 - 0.0185 = 0.9815
So, the chance of getting x in at least one of the 10 attempts is 98.15.
Considering the number of runs (20), the probability (0.38) and the underlying binomial distribution, the probability of not getting this item is 0,000059. So, you must be really sad but as you see the probability of such case is not zero.
And as mentioned: every run has the probability of 0.38 to get it…. This remains the same every run!