Drop Rates calculated - Everything is fine except the 25$ Recipe

[Slow Lazy Potato]

Hi all.
I just did 66 runs to farm the Energy Activator. That's about 8h of farming.
I did not craft anything during this farm, since i was interested in the real drop rates

Here are my results:

amorphous pattern 02
Item My Nexon Expected Real
Result Chance Outcome Outcome
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Energy Activator : 0 3 % 1.98 0.00%
Afterglow Sword : 8 6 % 3.96 12.12 %
Greg reversed Fate: 11 15 % 9.9 16.66 %
Smithereens: 21 38 % 25.8 31.81 %
Gley: 26 38 % 25.08 39.39 %
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Total 66

As you see, all the recipes for the Descendants and the Weapons drop as expected. Just the Energy Activator did not drop at all. I guess because the part costs about 25$ to buy and my account has enough money in it to buy one.

I think the still fake the drop rates but only for the pricy items.

I hope they will fix that soon!

[Maya-Neko]

If you calculate it, then also include calculations about how precise this calculation is. This isn't a coin toss, where 66 runs already get a good idea about how close it is to 50 %, but running 66 times on a 3 % drop still has a 13,4 % chance to not drop it at all. That's like 1 in 8 persons experiencing it with that low number of runs. Should be at least 152 runs to raise the chance of getting a drop to 99 %, but obviously doing it until you get this drop like 50-100 times is preferable, just to be as precise as possible and ruling out luck based extremes. And yes, that takes time, but it's necessary to have a proper case here

[Kazuha]

Found 6 of thos so far so I'm gucci.

[Noop]

Why would you grind stuff on normal mode when it's faster on hard mode? This proofs nothing except you wasted your time.

[76561197988918266]

Publicado originalmente por A10DollarBagel:

What I am gathering, is the game is being guarded by people with more time on their hands than they know what to do with. You just put an entire work-day shift into grinding to come up with a singular sample size.

They're probably getting paid 1caliber per message.

It ain't much but it's (dis)honest work.

[Smackx]

Yes, in my eyes the drop rates from some items seem manipulated, but there is another problem...
The ridiculous thing about this theme is that you have a cap of 350 items in your inventory... and i dont found a way to get rid of the useless stuff! I dont need 30 times a Lepic item but it fills the cap... .. .

[Nebiros]

Publicado originalmente por Smackx:

Yes, in my eyes the drop rates from some items seem manipulated, but there is another problem...
The ridiculous thing about this theme is that you have a cap of 350 items in your inventory... and i dont found a way to get rid of the useless stuff! I dont need 30 times a Lepic item but it fills the cap... .. .

so are you near where it will be a problem with the cap?

i have 150/350 so not even half filled

[Smackx]

Publicado originalmente por Nebiros:

so are you near where it will be a problem with the cap?

i have 150/350 so not even half filled

I am about 2XX but the cap comes closer with every crap you loot the 20th or more time...
and then what then... you cant get rid of this items! A cap where you can do nothing about! You can't even sell it to this scamming trader in town, who pay near nothing...