bugged/scam drop rate (20% drop chance, 20 runs in, still nothing)

[Sydney Losstarot]

support website is down so i just post here. the item in question is "Blair Code"

[Nebiros]

got it first try

[Pitty]

20% per run ...

20% first run
20% 2nd run
20%3rd run
and so on why dont people get it its not stacking....

[Akaik]

try this calculator. It will show you what 20% means

https://www.gigacalculator.com/calculators/binomial-probability-calculator.php

[LightBearer]

just because it says 20% doesnt mean its some "oh well after five attempts i should get it!" no thats not how it works, your just unlucky. i got four red modules off four different missions first try which is 1.2% each. its luck not a bug

[BlackFlame1981]

20% means there is a 80% chance to get something else.

[Nero]

if it's actually true then you have 0,01% of getting nothing for 20 runs straight

[DDENN]

drop rate will rigged after one last part left

[denblacksoul]

Originally posted by LightBearer:

just because it says 20% doesnt mean its some "oh well after five attempts i should get it!" no thats not how it works, your just unlucky. i got four red modules off four different missions first try which is 1.2% each. its luck not a bug

do you know how statistic works? 20% mean that in 100 runs you get it 20 times, and in that game that 20% is scam

[Setian]

Sometimes you find it the first time
The other time its 20 times

However RNG can be very tedious... and I would love to see something implemented if you played a mission 10 times you have the option to choose your reward

[Steppa60]

Originally posted by denblacksoul:

Originally posted by LightBearer:

just because it says 20% doesnt mean its some "oh well after five attempts i should get it!" no thats not how it works, your just unlucky. i got four red modules off four different missions first try which is 1.2% each. its luck not a bug

do you know how statistic works? 20% mean that in 100 runs you get it 20 times, and in that game that 20% is scam

I wish I could give you the clown award for this comment.

Edit: Nvm, I can

[DeiGratia]

When people show off math skills

"Dude it's 20% I only need to do 1-5 runs to get it"

Guess they don't teach basic probability in school anymore

[Starke]

Originally posted by Pitty:

20% per run ...

20% first run
20% 2nd run
20%3rd run
and so on why dont people get it its not stacking....

That's still a 1 in 5 chance to drop. If they did it 20 times it should've dropped at least once.

[VoiD]

Originally posted by Nero:

if it's actually true then you have 0,01% of getting nothing for 20 runs straight

And since so many are going over 50 with nothing, we're clearly not dealing with 20% here.

I've leveled 2 characters all the way to 40 trying to get the shareen code, I don't even know how many runs in 2 days all day that adds up to.

That or the entire world suddenly became freakishingly odd so we should all start betting on the lottery as triggering impossible odds is something everybody can do nowadays, apparently. Either we all get rich, or we're getting scammed here.

[Skyper]

20% can mean 2000/10000 so possible 8000 fails streak can be.

[LaggyLagg]

oh yeah, I ran this one infiltration mission well over 40 times and I got the 1.5% transcendent modules six times with zero descendant mats at 20%.

Certain folks in this forum said 20% per each run is abysmally low, gotta wonder how I even managed to nab those with even lower chances. It's rigged no doubt, unless they gave us the guide in a bunny suit.