Drop rates broken (again)?

[uncle Martin]

Defeating Stunning Beauty with pattern 9 counter:
Attempts: 16
Valby part: 12
Ult Bunny part: 1
Crystallization Catalyst Blueprints: 2
King's Guard Lance synth fiber blueprint: 1
Python synth fiber: 0

38% chance for the python part... no one is that unlucky

[GoldenGG]

38% is not 100% so drop rate are fine, try again...

[Boink]

Now think about this in the big picture. Someone out there might be destroying their keyboard and didn't get their Ult Bunny part and have tons of Python Synth Fiber.

RNG baby.

[uncle Martin]

Originally posted by Boink:

Now think about this in the big picture. Someone out there might be destroying their keyboard and didn't get their Ult Bunny part and have tons of Python Synth Fiber.

RNG baby.

Considering how much I grind for ftp ult Bunny, I feel their pain. But it's like the game knows what I unlocked and what I marked as next to research and is pushing away from it. Just so weird.

[Sawyer]

I just finished crafting my last ultimate descendant and I can say from my experience, the grind for many 20-38% weapon parts have been a much worse grind. The normal mission weapon parts that have a 20% drop rate have been way worse than any ultimate part.

[Delerium75]

In the past, drop rates often seemed to work against me when target farming, so instead I adopted more of a "whatever" mentality to the way I play and it's worked wonders on my sanity and how I perceive my luck with drops.

[FrontenStuermer]

Drop rate is fine like it is.
38% means you can do it 100 times and dont have it.
I farmed the python parts and my longest try was 12 times.
I dont know why many must open a thread for this.
This is a grinder and i never had so many attemps to find some things i needed.
I would say its less than a soft grinder.

[Aquamarine]

There is 62% chance to drop other things than the python part...

Here is the thing. If it drops then it drops, nothing else to say. But if it doesn't, you have to look at the probability.

I spent almost 10 hours farming just to get a single blueprint for an Ult Viessa part with 6% drop chance. That was roughly 80 runs.

There is a concept called Nearly Guaranteed number of runs. It is an estimation to determine how many runs it should take for an item to drop with 99%-99.99% probability. Note that it is not 100% and will never reach 100%, only close to as much as possible. That's how probability works.

For an item with 38% chance, Nearly Guaranteed is 15±5 runs. This means it should drop, at least once, between 10-20 runs.

For comparison, the Viessa part I want has Nearly Guaranteed of 116±39 runs (77 to 155 runs). So, my 80 runs is also in line with probability.

If it still doesn't drop beyond this point... it means you are really unlucky with the part. But it will eventually drop for you if you don't give up.

I know it's really frustrating, but what else can we do except pressuring the Dev to improve these drop rates?

[RealReality]

Your talking about Nexon of coarse they are lying about rates.