Freyna Enhanced cells

[Cheungy]

Finished "Shelter" like 11 times.

still no drop.

how fix

[KaZudra]

Bruh, Freyna was pain.
Shelter 20+ times, got the Red mod before the 20% drop.

[Lotvis]

83 runs and i gave up for now

[EmperorVolo]

https://steamcommunity.com/app/2074920/discussions/0/4408543518582613005/?ctp=2

I put the math right here. 11 times is a little low.

[RogueVader-029]

They should just do it like Bungie does on destiny 2 and say "there's a chance" to drop Freyna's Enhanced Cells. Not the 20% bs, like most of us who've done more than 5 missions on The Shelter should already have it by now.

[inkbear]

Dropped for me o my 6'th run

[Phy44]

I got it in 4 tries. Probably means I'll never get another drop of something I want later, used all my luck on freyna.

[RogueVader-029]

Originally posted by inkbear:

Dropped for me o my 6'th run

I just completed my 7th... still nothing

[LumBiii]

Originally posted by Lotvis:

83 runs and i gave up for now

same here, time for a break after nearly 90 runs

[DrizzintahlTTV]

I think I'm in the 40s or so, no dice.

[AirSniffer]

Dude have you never played a looter shooter before?

[SiFi]

20% chance means every run is 20%. You are never, and I mean NEVER going to get better than 20% chance to get it, no mater how many runs you do. Thats how chance works.

What people do here saying you "should have a higher chance after XXXX runs" is called Gamblers Fallacy.

[Catanchovy]

Originally posted by SiFi:

20% chance means every run is 20%. You are never, and I mean NEVER going to get better than 20% chance to get it, no mater how many runs you do. Thats how chance works.

What people do here saying you "should have a higher chance after XXXX runs" is called Gamblers Fallacy.

u probably bad at math =) cuz 20 tries with 20% drop chance is ~98.85% chance to get item

[SiFi]

Originally posted by Catanchovy:

Originally posted by SiFi:

20% chance means every run is 20%. You are never, and I mean NEVER going to get better than 20% chance to get it, no mater how many runs you do. Thats how chance works.

What people do here saying you "should have a higher chance after XXXX runs" is called Gamblers Fallacy.

u probably bad at math =) cuz 20 tries with 20% drop chance is ~98.85% chance to get item

That is not how it works. At all. Look up Gamblers Fallacy and learn something.

[Irot Noot]

Originally posted by Catanchovy:

Originally posted by SiFi:

20% chance means every run is 20%. You are never, and I mean NEVER going to get better than 20% chance to get it, no mater how many runs you do. Thats how chance works.

What people do here saying you "should have a higher chance after XXXX runs" is called Gamblers Fallacy.

u probably bad at math =) cuz 20 tries with 20% drop chance is ~98.85% chance to get item

*copied from another thread about this same topic*

20% is not 1 in 5 like normal logic might suggest because every run is a new run so you only have 20% chance again. It doesn't stack 20% then 40% then 60% giving you a 1 in 5 chance.

To word it differently you have an 80% chance you won't get that drop. Does that mean you have a 4 in 5 chance you will never get it? No because each run is new odds.

To use a roulette table as an analogy. There are 36 numbers. Every time the ball spins there is a 1 in 36 chance it will land your number. But that doesn't mean after 36 spins you are guaranteed it will land on you.

[Goosus]

Originally posted by SiFi:

Originally posted by Catanchovy:

u probably bad at math =) cuz 20 tries with 20% drop chance is ~98.85% chance to get item

That is not how it works. At all. Look up Gamblers Fallacy and learn something.

"Statistically", after 20 runs, there is ~99% chance of getting the item if it has a 20% drop rate.