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But the people don't care what is going on with the royal family and their Bodyguard, there is a plague and everyone is dying, the top priority is to keep having a home and food for the foreseeable future. Ain't nobody got time to protest for the sake of the Royal Protector, who by the way broke out of prison and may or may not have left a trail of bodies through Dunwall.
The confession wouldn't be enough on its own anyway, it just means that there was a mastermind behind the murder, it doesn't say anything about who wielded the blade, and Corvo was the only one found with her body. Burrows making the Royal Protector do it makes perfect sense to anyone that doesn't know them personally.
I don't know why you think that the people forgot about Corvo, his wanted poster is plastered on every fourth wall. If you're seen by anyone with a weapon, chances are they're going to attack you. The city is keenly aware of his presence, but there are only so many resources you can put into finding and capturing one magic wielding ubermensch, the city is falling apart and order needs to be maintained as best as is possible. So protect high value targets with as much as you can, if Corvo comes for them then pray it's enough. I don't see what else could have been done really.
Burrows probably should have dealt with Campbell, but Campbell was also useful to control. The Royal Interrogator is evil and a mute, he's also very useful to control. Burrows wouldn't have been able to kill Daud, and Daud is a professional that wouldn't ordinarily have caused him any problems anyway. The confession came to be because of both guilt, and because he actually believes he was doing the right thing, his plan didn't work out, but he thought it was brilliant and people should understand and appreciate him for it. Part of him wanted everyone to know, but he obviously couldn't tell anyone so recording it must have been his compromise, and his chance of explaining "why" if the plot were revealed some other way. It doesn't make a lot of sense, but this is also the man that thought that the way to deal with poverty was to introduce a plague meant to kill all the poor people...
After the Lord Regent's confession is broadcast, why would there be a broad public belief in Corvo's innocence? I'm sure some people would come to that conclusion, but others could just become paranoid about the entire situation and not sure what is true, who is responsible for what, if there are multiple factions all lying about each other, etc. There is a rat plague, people are dying and panicky, and focused on survival, and I think demanding clear, logical thought processes is a big ask. Also, you actually don't really see many civilians before or after the confession. Guards will come for you as the authorities are still on the lookout for a masked murderer (some don't even know it's Corvo), so the masked Corvo is still going to be attacked by guards. I don't see that the confession really changes that.
Burrows was looking for Corvo. This is one of the reasons Martin is captured and held prisoner. The fact is that the guards were on the lookout (and Samuel even refers to the extensive searches going on for Corvo, although we never see them), but they were no match for Corvo who was a fearsome and competent warrior even before the Outsider's mark. Now he has magic powers, which makes him even harder to capture. Again, not everyone makes the connection that the masked murderer is Corvo - as far as they know, he is just underground and Burrows is not actually certain that his allies are falling to Corvo or a conspiracy. He confirms as much if you reveal yourself to him at the Tower.
As for why Burrows' confesses? A plot device used all the time, although it's pretty dumb that villains are always confessing their crimes on recording devices
I think my mistake was that I didn't actually list the original source of my confusion so I'll do that now.
The reason I went this deep into what I wrote above is because the part I REALLY don't get is why Havelock, Pendleton, and Martin betray you. I know I played this multiple times, and I know the game's "official" plot reasons for this: being your influence over Emily and them being treated as heros for bringing in the masked felon.
I guess I'm just confused because the loyalists got everything they wanted. Emily was rescued, the Regent and his allies were taken out, and they were ready to take back the throne. So what exactly made them suddenly decide to turn on Corvo? More importantly, why did they think this would a good idea in any aspect? They know he's a highly-skilled assassin from the beginning, and him helping their cause only proves this fact. He dealt with people much more skilled and hard to get close to than them, how in the world did they think they could outsmart him? Everything was perfectly set up for them (at least to my knowledge), and they just decided to throw it all away?
I guess the second betrayal is either genuinely a betrayal to me, or very predictable. From the moment I first played this and was introduced to them, I could tell something was off. It seemed to good to be true, especially since Corvo was admittedly doing all the hard work and actually removing people from power. Havelock and Pendleton clearly were hiding something, and low and behold. I guess this just seems like a really poor plot device for me, because you were already betrayed at the beginning of the game and are suddenly betrayed again? I don't know.
I think my original point was coming from the fact that the Loyalists betrayal made zero sense to me, and I suppose I was trying to find a hole in the game that would've voided that plot point entirely. I guess I failed there.
With regard to questioning the betrayal, this is a fair point. At first, I found it less than convincing. But after playing a few times, I think the logic given by the characters does make some sense. Samuel points out that the Corvo would not have let the loyalists manipulate Emily into what they wanted - they were power hungry and wanted her to fall into line, which Corvo would not have allowed.
Another reason is given which I find less convincing, which is that they could not let people know the lengths they had gone to, in terms of murder, torture etc. They didn't trust Corvo to shut up about that, so they killed him. Maybe it's because their actions seem reasonable to me (in low chaos), so I think people wouldn't be too shocked, but maybe outside the context of the game, I would find it unacceptable and would not want to support a new government that used violence to get there, even if in the game, I have no problem with it.
Final reason given which makes no sense is that if they could turn Corvo in as the killer of empress, they would be seen as heroes. The reason this doesn't make sense is that they tell Samuel to get rid of the body so how where they going to take credit? Not sure, maybe there is a logic here but I don't get it.
Also, the other problem with this reasoning is that overthrowing any tyrannical government requires some use of violence. It may not have to be on a mass scale, but even if Corvo doesn't kill a single person he is still using force and violence and could just as well be shamed for this as he could for killing people. There is almost no legitimate way to get rid of a corrupt leader like the Lord Regent other than to overthrow him or forcefully remove him from power. After all, Dunwall is a constitutional monarchy so democracy isn't exactly something people care for with regards to the Empire.