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http://www.ckiiwiki.com/Objectives#Plots
http://www.ckiiwiki.com/Assassination
Discovery is covered in that section also. I think you mean having the plot outed by one of the conspirators instead? Discovery is just the chance that the target will find out himself. I don't think I've seen any in-depth study of how the too-talkative plotter mechanic works. The chance of a plotter blabbing and telling everyone about the plot seems to be dependent upon the kind of traits you might expect. Drunkard, gregarious, possessed, proud, etc. would be the kinds of traits which might cause someone to talk about the plot. Paranoid and shy, though, would seem to do the opposite. I don't think anyone knows for certain.
I don't know exactly how the formula works, but the target's intrigue score has an impact as well. It is much easier to kill targets with low intrigue scores than targets with high intrigue.
As for what you can do to increase plot power, I think that sending your spymaster there to build a spy network and bribing potential plot backers are virtually the only two things you can do. Improving your own and/or your spymasters intrigue score helps of course, but it's a strategy that's entirely dependent on luck.
Inviting the target's courtiers to you court wont help since if they accept they'll no longer be at the target's court and able to help out with the plot.
You can cheat of course, in which case you can just kill the character off with a command and not plot at all. If you want to kill him with a plot you could try to remove the traits of the target that increases his courtiers' opinion of him (kind, gregarious, just and so on).
You cheat by typing commands into the console. I guess how you access it varies with your keyboard, but on my Swedish keyboard it's the § button to the left of the main keyboards numbers setup. If that doesn't work for you just google CKII cheat console, and CKII cheats to find the commands you need to use.
I generally don't worry too much about getting outed as a murderer, except when plotting against family. I use assassinations when necessary and killing the target is more important than getting the -10 opinion penalty for being a known murderer. I do tend to stay with Grey Eminence rulers when possible, however; so, the high diplomacy stat makes up for the negative opinion easily. I'd rather succeed at an assassination and have it revealed and make people angry than have too few plotters and fail over and over.