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And make the best alliance you can.... Italy or the Byzantines, France if its stable....
However, I seem to have gotten somewhere by using jews' gold to get mercenaries -- I didn't have that DLC before. Also those counties in Brittany decided to join the war on my side and that helped more than I expected. If I can get a snowball effect rolling I might be good.
Thanks for the suggestions.
So, surviving of NPC Asturias counts on luck and game rules. Tons of epidemies = France dies faster since after death of Carlemagne and his bro France drops in pieces. But all you need to hit guts of Umayyad is one cute war with heavyhitter like France on your side. After that watevah.
There's few ways to live as Asturias, but I personally dont like it because cant be sated with just North Hispania and its really hard to absorb Andalusia since Conclave DLC. For now, imma lazy viking harlot who rules Denmark. I can start as Asturias just like a challenge, but it'll be boring and vassalty and plotty.
One not so bad idea: if you start as one of dukes with nice stats (or avaliable to rise them in few years), betrothoy on Princess Gisele of France, dropout into Independance after Umayyad start bullying on Asturias, swear fealty to France, become Chancellor (optionally) and plot some inheritance of France to you. You're back on as doodly duke but as mighty France. One good war to Umayyad, Asturias is happy, absorb Asturias, disband France staying in Asutrias. You're Asturias and happy.
Realize that you do not play as Asturias. You play as the ruling dynasty of Asturias. Survive whatever it takes. Yes even if that means swear fealty to Umayyads, switch religion, destroy them from within and go back to Christianity.
My advice in general would be to take personal control over as much of Asturias as possible through centralization laws and high stewardship. Ally with the Karlings if you can and maintain a large stockpile of gold; even a single mercenary band can be enough to turn the tide in a tight situation.
Oh, and do not hesitate when you sense weakness. The Umayyads will only get more powerful the longer they rule. You need to topple them as quickly as possible in order to prevent them from overrunning you.
I think the big difference from the first playthrough was the ability to borrow from Jews which allowed me to win the first war with mercs.
Another thing you might want to do is increasing the amount of diseases and epidemics etc if you have the DLC. It can work to your advantage and disadvantage. But in the right timing it can mean facing 12000 troops vs 5000 or something.
Personally I waited my moments and tried to have alliance with France, Byzantium and Lombardy. Whenever a rebellion broke out I was the first to dive on it and started to siege all their holdings as fast as possible. When Umayyad attacked I try to get more alliances or join the person who is being attacked. It does not mean they will help you later, but stopping Umayyad is good enough.
Later on all my allies were disasters. France and Byzantium with constant rebellions and Lombardy with a lot of heresy. So in the end I was getting rekt.