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The MTTH is 100 years so stay patient. The event won't fire if a province owner has a Pictish top liege that is emperor-tier or has two or more kingdoms, though that isn't likely to be a problem.
I have some provinces in Wales. Could I use those somehow to force a culture change?
I will certainly give Donjuan's idea a try. There is little harm to letting the norse have one tiny province for a bit. How long would I have to wait before taking it back?
If you use Conclave, the "education" section would also include using Heritage focus to change wards' culture.
Look in the character window. To the right of the portrait.
The direct ruler of the pictish province needs to be any other culture than pictish.
Doesn't have to be norse. Could be any.
If he has a top liege (so you in this case), then that one may not be emperor or have two king titles while pictish himself. So being pictish yourself is fine. You dont have to change your culture, but if you did then the event could also fire in your demesne and thus make it more likely to happen faster.
So as long as you don't become emperor or hold two kingdom titles, you could have a vassal of different culture in a pictish province of the region of Scotland and hope that the province culture then changes to scottish.
As soon as the province converts from pictish to scottish, you (should) get a decision to convert to scottish yourself.
I do in fact have two kingdom titles, the Irish and the Pictish titles. I'll have to see if I can give one away to one of my sons maybe? Hopefully I'll be able to keep my castle holdings in that territory if I do.
Just in case:
Only real kingdom titles do matter. Petty kingdoms are duchy tier and thus not real kingdoms.
See also: http://www.ckiiwiki.com/Duchies#Nomenclature
Now if you indeed have a second kingdom and hand that out, then this kingdom will be independent of yours.
Failing everything, I suppose I could just scrap a day and a half of gameplay and start a new game at a later date with Scottish culture and feudalism already in play.
The 'proc' chance of the culture creation for a non-pict barony (which I also managed to create) seems to be such that it has a one in 1200 chance of happening each month. Which works out to about a 66% chance of it happening over the course of 100 years (stats are funny). Would I be correct to presume that if I had two such baronies, I would double my chances? The more the merrier?
Well.. yes, however the chance is likely smaller than 66% since the chances aren't cumulative. I'd figure you'd increase your chances if you did similar things in various counties since it'd just create another instance of likeliness for the event to fire. If you want to maximize that i'd say you could do the same in every pictish country. I'm not sure what the game does for multiple non-picts in the same county though, and whether they'd all have the culture flip event.
As long as a title is not under gavelkind you can destroy it, so there would be no need to give it away.
It's per province, not per barony