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No one has an answer to the question of: "How many of the pirates would have bought it?"
That said, I also believe in fair examples and truth be told: Hogwarts Legacy was one of the best selling games as well and did have Denuvo.
The logical conclusion is that it simply does not matter and it's therefore a pointless investment.
Pirates are the furthest from BBI's mind.
Indeed, and it is not causing performance issues so stop crying about it and be glad there won't be rampant multiplier cheating.
Stutters aren't Anti-Tamper related, game has a consistently smooth frametime here, What can cause stutters is a little known Windows 11 feature called Hardware Flip Queue, which Nvidia found out has a bug in it the hard way when they turned it on in Driver RElease 545,
Release 551.52 has a workaround which should smooth your gameplay out.
You cite a specific (and statistically only) example of Assassins creed Origins, where the developers are morons and triggered VMProtect on Every single input, a well thought out implementation will not and does not have performance issues (As demonstrated in this game running fine on 12 year old xeon cpu's.
The Anti-tamper vendor has gone out of their way to release performance data proving the concerns in threads like this have no merit.
And before someone cites Hogwarts Legacy, that was confirmed to be a bug in the steam overlay slowing the game down, not Denuvo.
Just as a PSA: the op is a known fearmonger that always whines about anti-cheat and anti-tamper mechanisms, there are no concerns to be had about modding or performance.
Again, pure fabrication. Irdeto has never released any data in that sense.
I only tackled these two points because they were the most egregious but the rest is also either unconfirmed or contradicted, like the game having a consistently smooth frametime. This game has one of the worst frametimes I've ever seen in a strategy game, except from Deserts of Kharak, coincidentally from the same developers so, yes, that one is probably not on Denuvo but I would still appreciate for it to be fixed.
Also, one final note of warning: In agreement with Steam's guidelines for these forums, please discuss the points, not the person.
Baldur's Gate 3 is a completely DRM-free game: as I mentioned in the OP, the top selling game for any given year on Steam has been almost invariably a DRM-free game for the past decade. If it's a fluke, it's a hell of a one. I strongly believe that, while most people do not care about a sensible amount of protection, excessive and untrusted DRM like Denuvo is counter-productive.
More seriously, I see this as an absolute win.