Install Steam
login
|
language
简体中文 (Simplified Chinese)
繁體中文 (Traditional Chinese)
日本語 (Japanese)
한국어 (Korean)
ไทย (Thai)
Български (Bulgarian)
Čeština (Czech)
Dansk (Danish)
Deutsch (German)
Español - España (Spanish - Spain)
Español - Latinoamérica (Spanish - Latin America)
Ελληνικά (Greek)
Français (French)
Italiano (Italian)
Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian)
Magyar (Hungarian)
Nederlands (Dutch)
Norsk (Norwegian)
Polski (Polish)
Português (Portuguese - Portugal)
Português - Brasil (Portuguese - Brazil)
Română (Romanian)
Русский (Russian)
Suomi (Finnish)
Svenska (Swedish)
Türkçe (Turkish)
Tiếng Việt (Vietnamese)
Українська (Ukrainian)
Report a translation problem
So... if you want to hold out for that more power to you.
So that's like 1080 light sources if you immediately pop them as they are created. You probably won't do this well but lets say 1k then, even number.
1k light sources per run, half a percent chance of little clover. Means 5 per run spawn. Lets say you're really on it but miss some because it's not seen, end of run and death kills you, you die trying, etc. Call it 3 per run if you're farming. Feels high to me still.
So every run you have 1000 individual half a percent chances to get one. And each of those half a percent chances has 0.00152590218 percent shot of it being very lucky.
So.... 3 attempts per run would be 1-((1-0.00152590218)^3) or 0.00457072496 percent chance.
24 hours in a day, 30 minute runs, lets say you get 47 runs in. 21% chance?
21% = 7+7+7
777
That's lucky.
So 1 day. I helped. Or completely messed up the math. Probably the second.
If they can't survive out in the cold by themselves, they are not strong enough for the clan.
Not sure about the math b/c too lazy to check, but that's not how statistics work. Your chances don't add up. If your numbers are right, it's 0.005% every single run.
If I flip a coin and there's a 50% to land on heads, it's not 100% chance if I do it twice. That's why even with 50% odds, we can see strings of T-T-T-T-T-T-T (if you have really bad luck) -- it's 50% every flip.
Notice how they're also 60% of rust bans on twitter
There is something with weebs
I loved the post. I just didn't want OP to get their hopes up that their chances got better with every run -- they're pretty much starting from 0 no matter how much time they sink into it, much like how playing the lottery daily doesn't increase your odds that you'll hit a jackpot (it's just giving you a daily chance to hit, but that chance is still pathetically small every day).
Your numbers are way off. If you figure that you average about one or two clovers per run at best and you can cram 4 runs into an hour then if you don't stop to eat, drink, sleep or go to the bathroom you can do 96 runs per day. So you would on average need to play for over two years straight with no breaks to unlock Exdash without the code.
I'm actually more surprised they added an option for a 1/65535 chance unless that too was a reference to something I don't know about.
Wrong!
You were thinking of TOASTIE and her name is even an homage to TOASTY which was what was in Mortal Kombat.
The code to unlock ExDash is x-x1viiq which is a reference to the name you would input in Castlevania Symphony of the Night to start the game with Alucard having an obscene amoint of luck.
Luck does affect the drop chance of items, and the respawn chance of candles though, so starting with as much luck as possible would give you the best return, assuming the opportunity cost of starting with other things does not hurt too much.
Still, it's ridiculous. 1 in 65536 is simply the smallest chance you can have in a 16-bit roll, and I would argue with how low the chance is, you're not supposed to do it the "real" way, because it's intentionally absurdly unlikely in line with the entire theme of exaggerated luck.
It is almost certainly the case that the expected and intended way to get the character is to put in the code.
If you really were to do it by collecting Clovers, on average, you'd have to collect tens of thousands of them, and there's a good chance you still won't have it even after having collected a few hundreds of thousands.
Is that really what you want to spend your life on?