Please fix Smithing

[Kamikaze$X-GEN$]

I keep failing smithing as soon I made a second mistake, this happened since I learned the Martin Skill perk.
I am at Crafting Skill Level 30 so full. I also acutally make sure to never hit a place twice. Henry even whistles most of the time. But at some point he starts warning me about making mistakes, the first is okay but as soon he mentioned the second mistake I failed and need to start all over. Luckily the materials won't get lost. I really cannot craft anything since I used the Martin Master Skill Perk. Before I could craft anything I wanted.

[Kamikaze$X-GEN$]

I need to insist

[joxertm22]

I have no idea what is going on there, however, you don't have to equally hit the whole item you are crafting.
Just hit one point then move up or down a bit then hit there, then return to the first spot and hit. Doesn't matter if it cooled down (until Henry says it's cold).
Continue doing it, hit only close places so you don't miss the item (horseshoes best to hit only close spots in the middle by moving left-right, although these have no quality).
Anyway, Martin quality weapon guaranteed with an ignorable possibility of tier3.
Also remember that Ratzig sword upgrade is bugged and you can't get it Martin quality, only tier 3.

Whistling does not affect item quality.

[Kamikaze$X-GEN$]

Ever since I have that perk I simply every craft. Doesn't matter what I want to craft, Horseshoes too. They fail every time.....

[paladin]

Kamikaze$X-GEN$, I am having the exact same problem. All my attempts at smithing now fail, no matter how perfectly I adhere to how to make swords. I too am Level 30 in Crafting, and have Martin's Secret. I'm tried it with and without wearing blacksmithing apron and gloves, and with and without Strong Quickfingers potions. Named swords (like Sir Valentine's Sword) and unnamed. And no, I'm not doing anything differently than I had done for all the other swords I forged to get to level 30. I'm not hitting the same spot repeatedly, and Henry is whistling along as the sparks fly in rhythm. There's got to be some sort of file corruption.

[Feral Fritz]

Got a thunderstone in your pocket while any of it's quests are hanging? That got me for a LONG while. Now, I usually know near the end if its T3 or an MJ.

Also, there seems to be a finger-on-the-scale and the magnitude of the effect is directly proportional to the price of the final item.

For example, at lvl29, 30STR/AGL/STA/ lvl30crafting, apron & gloves, all appropriate juices, and properly intoxicated my attempts on the "Absolver" earlier today were:
MJ/T3/T3/T2/T3/T3/MJ
I was damn-near tearing my hair out. (Yeah, I was trying to give the Cuman an MJ, the Praguer meat-puppet anything, keep the original to see if there is a Kuttenburg quest for return of original and I wanted an MJ, cause I collect... things.)
The first one had sparkling iron from the forge and three solid dead *thunk* strikes. My T2 had me whistling the entire time but that one I short-stroked because the tune is more fun. dunno.... but the fancy Messer... those I can hammer out MJs until my clicker finger goes numb.

edit: and this is the very first time I got an MJ on the first try after over 300hrs into the game. Some folk have nailed an MJ with lower stats on multiple items. That is, there may also be multiple fingers-on-the-scale and one of them is an RNG.

[White Knight]

I tend to get tier 4 pretty much all of the time, except when reforging my father's sword, of course.

Good heating is important so I won't ever need to go back to the forge once I start on the anvil. I get it that glowing yellow colour, just before "oh no, it's burning" (sometimes after), and then go to the anvil. LIght hits while moving the blade as little as possible. I move up to the tip and then back again, rinse and repeat.
No flipping the blade, no worrying about whistling, no concern about powerful swings, no need to ever reheat the blade, and so on.

I do this while ignoring all of the sloppy, magical thinking on the internet, and have great success.