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I don't think you need to control Russia to get Restored Warsaw Pact, because I have never controlled anything in the middle east and I have The Caliphate.
I don't know why you don't have East Africa Federation, but I don't either, many years after researching AIR.
But sometimes it just takes a while.
Warsaw pack requires some level of control of Russia and expansion/unification of the EAU.
EAU requires some control in east africa.
Unless a projects says it is only complete able for 1 faction. Other factions will eventually be able to unlock and complete it. Global research IS global. However it is possible that you will never see some projects because they are single faction locked and someone finished it first.
I focused on the Restored Warsaw Pact. I rushed Arrival International Relations I didn't have any control point in Russia. I was never offered Restored Warsaw Pact as a project.
I restarted and got all control points in Russia when I researched Arrival International Relations I got offered Restored Warsaw Pact almost immediately.
Sample size is very small but it seems that it matters
I wish the projects have a transparent list of requirements. Including tech and any other you need to meet in order to have a chance for it to pop.
In this case maybe controlling Russia's control points increases the odds.
I don't have time to test it more but I think I seen some mention about mods and maybe it would be good to see how one can mod new projects and what options there are.
Warsaw is a Eurasian Union expansion.
From a quick look at TIProjectTemplate.json, I think all the national expansion techs require you to hold the capital of the nation in question.
I got "Free the Chinese Mainland" (or something similar, don't remember the exact name) without controlling Taiwan, so I think controlling any territory of the future combined nation suffices. At least in some cases.
For the breakup [nation] techs you definitely don't need to control anything at all, they clutter up your choices all on their own :[