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I think the craziness in the later chapters is about him trying to regain control of his "everybody's savior" persona after the failed Saint Denis bank job. Before then, you hear nearly all the younger gang members talk about how Dutch took them in when nobody else would or how they feel indebted to him for one reason or another. But after Hosea's death (despite the conman working one of the safest parts of that bank job), the gang really started to question Dutch. And that fulled his paranoia because Dutch didn't feel right about the bank job to begin with.
His need for devotion fueled his desire to prove himself with bigger and flashier jobs. The more heat and the more danger, the more likely his followers would regain their faith in his capabilities. But the more trouble Dutch stirred up, the more Arthur and John questioned him, and that led Dutch to wanting to cut their dissent out of the picture permanently, hence leaving them behind when he was more than capable of saving them.
He has no greater plans, his intent is to fight that fight for as long as he lives.
He thinks he's some Robin Hood fella, but he's not, he never really was one, only when it suited him or when he could afford it, he hates modern civilization, and his frolicking around has caused untold misery.
He is able to fool others for a long time, but eventually, he cannot hide it, the "next score, the muhnney", it's just an excuse to keep going at it, and he is willing to do it till the last man, himself included.
Plus, he is insane, deep down, what he did in Black Water, what he did in RDR1 and so on.