Glowing Masks vs Simple Math

[Sorty]

14 days x 24h = 336 events

drop rate of Glowing mask 0.4% right ? ( but lets say its 1% )

so +/- 100 events for 1 Glowing Mask

and there is 10 Glowing Masks total = 10 masks x 100 events = 1000 events

so how we suppose to get them all ?? thats simply IMPOSSIBLE... isnt that just WAY TO CRAZY ?

(btw. numbers are way crazier czoe Glowing Masks considered as Rare and there is much more rare masks then those 10 glowings)

with this amount of new masks, there should be "mask exchange Vendor" that allow players to exchange f.e. 25x Alien masks for 1 Glowing Alien Mask etc. or some other methode to obtain them.

--- EDIT ---

also here is topic with some Fasnacht Event Facts:
https://steamcommunity.com/app/1151340/discussions/0/4416424085347878088/

[Dezktop]

Ursprünglich geschrieben von Mooman:

That's... not how the maths works...

Each successful run is an independent trials. The odds never change between trials.

You can't say a 1% chance means you'll get something after 100 runs. That only works if each trial is linked and the number rolled is barred from rolling again. That is you go through every permutation.

I'm not going to go into it further but suggest you look up confidence intervals.

But... even then they rely on the RNG being as random as possible. With the RNG implementation BGS have in this game I and many others have their doubts the RNG seed used is really 'fair'.

Some people (or characters) will just be more lucky than others because they have a more favourable seed.

its fair in the sense we are all getting got at the same rate :)

[Sorty]

Ursprünglich geschrieben von Dezktop:

its fair in the sense we are all getting got at the same rate :)

except cheaters/hackers that dupe them and ppl who bought 5 accounts and afking :P

otherwise yeah its "fair" :P

[Dezktop]

Ursprünglich geschrieben von Sorty:

Ursprünglich geschrieben von Dezktop:

its fair in the sense we are all getting got at the same rate :)

except cheaters/ahckers taht dupe them and ppl who bought 5 accounts and afking :P

otherwise yeah its "fair" :P

their cheats and dupes increase some hidden stat? they have the same chance of getting bamboozled as everyone else.
* i hate when my dummy self puts state instead of stat ;( rofl

[Sorty]

Ursprünglich geschrieben von Dezktop:

Ursprünglich geschrieben von Sorty:

except cheaters/ahckers taht dupe them and ppl who bought 5 accounts and afking :P

otherwise yeah its "fair" :P

their cheats and dupes increase some hidden stat? they have the same chance of getting bamboozled as everyone else.
* i hate when my dummy self puts state instead of stat ;( rofl

hahaha yeah thats true they have to drop 1st one :D

[Dezktop]

its like a new years count down. except everyone is a dirty and stinky vault dweller :)
and some corporations made bank off the celebrations :)

[Phantom]

Luck
Trading
Friends

I have one of those in spades :P

[Niche Defoe]

I have 3 glowing masks, been to 6 or 8 events