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Bir çeviri sorunu bildirin
20% is not good, and by 20% i mean 20% of the highlights, not actual shots, thats a lot worse most times. Ive just had a game where it finsihed 8-3 to me, yet the game before where I had 50% more shots on targets i drew 0-0, its inconsistant
- On average over a variety of them, they are 1 in 3 chances. Streaks of not scoring as such should be really really common place, no matter the forward.
- If you watch, in partly due to bad decisions, the 1vs1s in game are oft/mostly from really tough angles rather than centrally in front of goal. Additionally, the forward is still closed down. It is fair to assume that they are lesser ones than the average 1 goal in 3 long-term average. In parts this is because the wide players/wingers seem to have it too easy
- This is crucial: ****One on one is not one on one***. There seem to be ones where the convesion is actually 1 in 2, or 50% or slightly higher https://community.sigames.com/topic/503206-football-manager-2020-feedback-thread/page/29/?tab=comments#comment-12127541
The most concerning thing is still their frequency. Misses over a couple weeks or months are perceived differently than over but a couple matches. Plus, they are not that common in real football.
Oh, and, whenever I see an FM match with 15 SOT and no goal, I know what to look out for, and it is not the amount of 1vs1. It is a thing the game doesn't have a stats for, which is the attempts from the set piece. Headers under pressure will barely be anything quite near a tap-in, and on top of that are mostly picked up by the keeper. This stat would be crucial, as a side havinng so much purely from the set piece is the telltale sign of it struggling to break a defense down. A lot of download tactics are hugely prone to this, as they push literally everybody up, playing completely into the hands of defensive opposition. The game naturally allows crap like that.
To highlight the above, this is an FM match with a) a lot of one on ones (RED), and b) a lot of attempts from the set piece (BLUE). The one on ones are from difficult angles, and almost all the finishes centrally in front of the box are purely from the set piece. Still 2 goals were scored.
https://i.imgur.com/2HCSDGR.png
That's football. Bayern won 7-2 at Spurs, and every other shot went in.
https://1xbet.whoscored.com/Matches/1426904/MatchReport/Europe-UEFA-Champions-League-2019-2020-Tottenham-Bayern-Munich
Four days after that they lost 1-2 to Hoffenheim, where it didn't. https://1xbet.whoscored.com/Matches/1388231/MatchReport/Germany-Bundesliga-2019-2020-Bayern-Munich-Hoffenheim
In actual football, things tend to be a good deal more severe, as they can last weeks, and months. https://www.fourfourtwo.com/features/why-cristiano-ronaldo-has-been-real-madrids-major-problem-season-he-can-also-be-their It's fairly obvious why the game doesn't simulate anything like this.
How consistent your management is can only ever be gauged over the longer term.That said, the data FM offers have never been particularly reliable. As argued, a high amount of SOT with little goals is typically caused by most of those SOT being from the set piece (pressured headers, etc.). I've seen it otherwise on the occasion, but it's very very rare.
Very true man. Game is shamblic, they did great work with adding things off the field, but when it comes to match engine, they Need to improve and fix it, Cant believe that the match engine gets worse some years rather than build upon the good work.
Its stale,the passing and finishing, I mean, have you seen a player PLACE a shot when close to goal ?? NO. They alwasy blast it straight at the goalkeeper, nor do they ever DINK the shot, its so STALE, and lacks innovation.
Im not carrying on arguing over this, this ISNT what im on about - the title is about finising and so is what im saying - players will shoot wide and high at a very unrealistic amount, that is the problem im trying to discuss, im watching footballers with 18 finishing consistantly missing open goals pretty much because theyre not shooting realistically
the most irritating are the open 6 yard box misses ...
That's exactly what you were on about in the latest post, the perceived inconsistency. Maybe it is too high, maybe it is not. But that is a thing in football all over the shop. It's part of the reason why bookmakers love to quote a team's most recent win-draw-loss record. A lot of Football matches are tight affairs that at one pointn could have gone either way anyway. However, any such streak can be hugely influenced by random chance. If publishing those streaks would provide gamblers an edge, they wouldn't do it.
https://www.espn.com/soccer/blog/name/67/post/2271195/headline
I agree that the game doesn't show a huge array of finishes, btw. Forwards rounding the keeper for instance is pretty rare (no idea how often this happens in football tbh), and the shots into the side netting have been flagged as issue. So may see a fix.
if they changed the conversion rate they could have to nerf the chances created or there would be too many goals.
ive scored 49 out of 24 games missing tons of one on ones every game.
Whilst you're right this is a balancing act, this is inacurate. In actual football, the average shot conversion / expectation is 1 goal roughly every 10th shot. Therefore, any chance with a higher probability of scoring is to be regarded as a bigger chance. Chances in which the forward is in the advantage to score meanwhile are regarded as very rare. Messi et all don't average a goal per match because they put it all away (and they couldN't). They have 5+ attempts AVERAGE per match throughout their entire career. Football is a low scoring sports for reason. 1vs1s for instance on average are regarded as 1 in 3 chances. Long-term one in 3 are a goal (perfectly possible to not score in five, six). That means they're good chances, but they're not open goals (like a tap-in, or cutback scenario). There seem types of one on ones in-game that have a chance of conversion as high as 50%ish (1 in 2), see my big post and links in the first post above.
However you're right on the wingers/wide players from my end. They get behind the lines far too easily. However, as it is mainly those widish guys, they tend to approach the goal and oft finish from difficult angles. The red dots here are the 1vs1s (the dots marked blue difficult headers from the set piece and the like): https://i.imgur.com/2HCSDGR.png Most of those should be probably regarded as 1 in 5 chances at best. I've seen far better ones in actual football regarded as 1 in 4 chances by various xG models. The biggest issue to me seems actually the frequency, far too many in a match, which means fixing the defending. And naturally the decision making too. Then there's probably an issue with the conversion ratio at such angles, but it may not be that absurdly off the mark. Will watch it a bit closer in the coming days.