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With low aiming levels, You're going to miss. A lot. The only gun you'll be able to reliably hit the broad side of a barn with is a shotgun.
Beyond that, Plant your feet- Don't move when you're aiming. As you're aiming at a zombie, it builds up chance to hit. If you move, chance lowers. Options->Display->Second section, "Aim Outline"; Enable it. Red is bad, green is good.
Panic also affects chance to hit- If you're extremely panicked, you're going to miss a lot. I think other moodles like pain/exhaustion/tiredness also affect it to some degree or anotehr.
At aiming 2 or less, don't bother with pistols. Till Aiming 5, don't bother with rifles. That said, you can use a pistol to some extent by knocking a zombie over and standing on top of it which pins it beneath you, you can then aim down at it and build up basically full accuracy if you have the time.
To start with, use shotguns, as those are spread shot and are mostly likely to hit at lower levels. Also, keep an eye on the colour indicator around selected targets. Red is poor, Green is good. Aim, wait and shoot when the green is vibrant and you will not miss.
Once you are confident with the shotgun, you can try out handguns. There are also some rifles and stuff, but those are rarer. Remember though, you are not a soldier, you will never be an expert, just won't suck as bad.
This game have a lot of stuff to learn.
I've some real experience with guns and some people is just... dangerous... even when dissassembling a 9mm pistol. Or shooting an FN-Fal almost at their own feet...
But when you hit level 5 aiming - your pistol will be amazing.
Use shotgun to level up aiming
This is true, the devs have this nonsensical idea where you have to build up lots of skill level before you can use bigger and better guns with decent accuracy. M16 IRL is a soldier's weapon and easy to achieve fair accuracy at 100 meters, but in zomboid you need to be an expert(skill 7/8) before your accuracy is decent... while shooting full targets a few meters away.
Getting used to the recoil of various guns might take a while, but that's about it.
It makes no sense that a shotgun is highly reliable yet every other type of gun is hopelessly inaccurate. It's not like firing a shotgun IRL launches a 100 degree cone of pellets that blankets everything in front of the shooter. No, the spread is obviously very tight at all but long ranges. Shooting a shotgun and an assault rifle should really be no different in terms of accuracy at the ranges relevant in Zomboid most of the time.
1. Landing headshots on a moving target isn't as easy as you apparently think it is. This is why military and police are trained to shoot center mass. It's a bigger target that is easier to hit even while moving.
2. In most zombie media zombies are slowly shambling in a static fashion. Their heads are bobbing and swaying and therefore isn't really all that predictable.
That's really the crux here. I think most people aren't thinking about the fact that only headshots kill zombies and headshots aren't easy targets in the best of situations, so we aren't talking about all you have to do is hit center mass and win.
Also as stated, it's an RPG, so having to build your skills should be expected.
No there isn't an expectation to breeze through zombies with guns. Why is the skill requirement for a M16 set so unrealistically high at around 7 or 8? It's so high that even if you properly hold still and charge your aim you'll still have horrible accuracy while shooting at standing zombies a few meters away while your character is in standing shoulder.
I know this is unrealistic because I have used the M16 IRL. It was easy to achieve fair accuracy at small targets at 100 meters as a total beginner to guns. And logically the military would never use it as a standard weapon if it was so hard to use and had horrible accuracy unless you were a very skilled expert.
I get that it's a game but the numbers need a lot of adjustment. When I find a shotgun in zomboid I know it's going to work like in classic doom with massive spread and damage. Meanwhile if I happen to be lucky enough to find a working M16 early in the game, I know it's going to be useless to me without expert skill level, and I have played the game enough to know that even after gunning down hundreds of zombies with a shotgun and gaining xp in the ideal way, I'd still only have around 5 or 6 aim.
See recent reddit threads like this exist:
https://www.reddit.com/r/projectzomboid/comments/w67z9m/m16_sucks/
People aren't happy with balance and numbers of the guns.