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In the background / behind the scenes, CSAT are secretly developing / testing a weapon on the Island, most likely with the permission of the Altis goverment.
Fast forward to the start of the campaign
AAF attack NATO forces on Stratis, why? It's not clear but the set up implies it's to do with the civil war, are CSAT involved? Possibly but in all likely hood they are just dragged into to conflict to protect their interests, the Secret weapon, remember, CSAT only show up when it looks like Nato will take Stratis and they withdraw from Altis completely as soon as their secret weapon is complete thus leaving the AAF to their fate.
So with all that in mind.
NATO and CSAT do not seem to have declared war on one another and thus there was no war between them, 'just' a skirmish, a serious 1 that could have sparked WW3, but in the end did not, the cold war simply resumed. As for Altis, It's armed forces capitualted and the governemnt was overthrown / repalced thus bringing an end to hostilities.
As for Tanoa / Apex, we havent seen the repercussions, but CTRG are Nato special forces and Viper is CSAT's equivilant both are deniable assets for their respective faction. So again, open declarions of war are never exchanged this time because neither side has offically been fired upon.
Suffice to say, WW3 has not kicked off in the official Arma 3 storyline thus far.
NATO rescues their forces that were cut off on Stratis, defeat the AAF on Altis and force CSAT to retreat off the island (so they think).
FIA overthrow the Altis leadership and and install the leader they want in charge, seemingly ending the civil war for good this time.
CSAT finish testing / developing their weapon and escape the island with it without NATO being any the wiser. (At least thats what they think, Apex tells us they only partly succeeded). They do not care what happens to Altis.
CTRG survive the mission and discover the existance of the secret weapon which is a partial win, but they fail to capture one so ultimately they failed in their objective.
In Apex,
CTRG win as they find CSAT's secret weapon and escape the island with it.
Viper / CSAT loses as they fail to recapture their Device.
Syndikat is little more than a sideshow to the main event, their capitulation was not the goal of CTRG so they are most likely still knocking about in some capacity, none the less CTRG certainly put a dent in their operation.
Offical NATO forces are not involved in any real fighting thus they havent got anything to win or lose here, it's a humanitarian relief mission. CTRG forces use Nato's deployment as cover to conduct their operations, in effect the Nato forces are a decoy. (CTRG are a NATO force / unit, they just don't have the same mission as the front line troops)
Official CSAT forces are not present on Tanoa at all and so they did not win or lose either.