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Does it become better as a part of the playerbase starts their own Leagues ?
I also see another chunk if the playerbase is still playing BB2. It is an assumption, although not a stretch, to think several of them will port over when league tools come. Those that are left will slowly trickle over here as games get harder and harder to find on BB2.
Also, and this is from personal experience, there are quite a few players like me who jumped the Steam Ship. I played BB2 on steam but play BB3 on PS5 (sony killed the PSForum so there is nowhere for us to go to discuss things, sorry you're stuck with me). I made the jump because of cross platform. I would imagine there is a non-insignificant amount of people that did the same. XBox seems to be struggling based on their number of top 100 players compared to Steam and PS4/5.
I believe that once cross platform and league tools arrive you will see the number stabilize aroun 400-600 across all platforms.
I dont see league tools making it worse. In fact it probably will make it slightly better.
In a league you're only playing 1 game a week per league on average. Most of the guys in my current league also play ladder because 1-2 games a week just doesnt scratch the itch enough. Obviously some people play in leagues because they only want to play 1 game a week.
So no it wont be a tidal wave of incoming players, more like a trickle. Enough to keep the game alive along as Cyanide was looking at the 2016-2021 numbers and keeping expectations realistic.
Given that they do not exist yet, I'd say the answer is certainly "no". A large portion of people who are primarily interested in private leagues simply don't play BB3 at all - they remain in their BB2 leagues.
Those are scheduled leagues, like tabletop, and that's not the only type of league that exists in online BB. There are plenty of private ladder leagues where you don't need to schedule games ahead of time, or which play on a faster schedule than once per week.
So until this is fixed which is the major problem you will not see an increase in players.
Another factor is teams as they slowly release them you will get more interest, however the first one if they implemented that from the get go you would have definitely increased the numbers.
1: The launch was a disaster
2: The microtransaction felt like i'm being scammed
3: Less customization and features than the previous game blood bowl 2
So I can't get myself to buy it until those are fixed.
BB2 if anything is more popular right now because of the private leagues.
I Have just started up our league again because BB3 does not have the tools to run what we run on our league. We have 32 coaches tjis season and we are starting 15 Jan 2024 as right now we are doing race draft, so looking forward to starting.
I would play again if the number of games per team were limited, right now if you only have time to play a few games a week it is absurd to try it...