Victory Paths by-the-Numbers

A mathematical breakdown of the victory paths. Contains major gameplay spoilers!

Introduction

This is a guide to the different victory paths in the game, explaining the card progression directly required for each, and the resource costs involved to complete the path. It is not a full walkthrough, these are merely the hard requirements for each victory.

Because the game always has a random element, in the form of the event system, there is not a concrete "build order" you can follow. You will need to make decisions around how to best acquire the resources consumed by the victory requirements, as well as how to mitigate the randomized events.

As well, the minimum times for completion do not reflect actually acquiring the resources, merely building the cards.

This guide is current as of 2023-08-05. Future versions of the game could potentially rebalance the cards and costs. It would be a very difficult task to edit the guide after such changes, so I cannot guarantee it will be perpetually updated.

I make no claims of copyright over this content (particularly considering it's derived from the game data), however I would appreciate attribution if you repost this guide on Steam or elsewhere. For example, if the content becomes outdated and you wish to edit and update it. The best manner of attribution is via linking back to this guide on Steam.

Industry, Deterministic Victory

This is the non-randomized path for an Industry sector victory.

Tech Progression

Industry 20th Century

Provided for free at the start of the game, but referenced here.

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ + + +
Emissions	+20
Cost	2 Industry, 0 People, 0 Science
Build Time	30s (0.75 rounds)
Rebates	1 Industry
Event Modifiers	+ Climate Change Denial, + Oil Rig Explosion, + Non-Regulated Pollutants
Unlocks	Fossil Power, Renewables, Nuclear Energy

Nuclear Energy

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ +
Emissions	+1
Cost	6 Industry, 0 People, 4 Science
Build Time	220s (5.5 rounds)
Rebates	2 People
Event Modifiers	+ Nuclear Catastrophe, + Lack of Uranium, + Radioactive leak, - Energy Shortage
Unlocks	Nuclear Energy 2.0, Safer Nuclear Energy, Basic Fusion

Basic Fusion

Attribute	Value
Speed	+
Emissions	+2
Cost	3 Industry, 0 People, 5 Science
Build Time	130s (3.25 rounds)
Rebates	1 Science
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Fusion Energy (by replacement)

Fusion Energy

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ +
Emissions	+1
Cost	6 Industry, 0 People, 10 Science
Build Time	310s (7.75 rounds)
Rebates	2 People
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Modular Fusion Reactors (by replacement)

Modular Fusion Reactors

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ + +
Emissions	+1
Cost	10 Industry, 6 People, 17 Science
Build Time	310s (7.75 rounds)
Rebates	3 People
Event Modifiers	- Energy Shortage
Unlocks	Industry 22nd Century (by replacement)

Industry 22nd Century

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ + + +
Emissions	+1
Cost	30 Industry, 20 People, 15 Science
Build Time	250s (6.25 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	Immediate Victory
Unlocks	Immediate Victory

Minimum Costs

Assuming Industry 20th Century is free:

• 55 Industry
  
• 26 People (-7 People in rebates)
  
• 51 Science (-1 Science in rebates)
  
• 1,220 seconds (20 minutes, 20 seconds) (30 rounds)

Ecosystems, Deterministic Victory

This is the non-randomized path for an Ecosystems sector victory.

Tech Progression

Nature Conservation

Attribute	Value
Speed	+0.5
Emissions	0
Cost	2 Industry, 0 People, 1 Science
Build Time	50s (1.25 rounds)
Rebates	-10 Emissions
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Agroecology, Local Solutions, Nature Restoration

Nature Restoration

Attribute	Value
Speed	+0.5
Emissions	-1
Cost	3 Industry, 2 People, 0 Science
Build Time	70s (1.75 rounds)
Rebates	-50 Emissions
Event Modifiers	- Anti-Monoculture Laws
Unlocks	Protected Landscapes, Ecosystems Approach , World Climate Fund

Ecosystems Approach

Attribute	Value
Speed	+0.5
Emissions	0
Cost	1 Industry, 2 People, 0 Science
Build Time	90s (2.25 rounds)
Rebates	1 Industry, -10 Emissions
Event Modifiers	- Climate Change Denial
Unlocks	Ecocentrism (by replacement)

Ecocentrism

Attribute	Value
Speed	+0.5
Emissions	-2
Cost	2 Industry, 4 People, 0 Science
Build Time	110s (2.75 rounds)
Rebates	1 Industry, -40 Emissions
Event Modifiers	- Climate Change Denial, - Anti Enviro Movement, - Disinformation Campaign, - Disinformation Campaign (not sure why in there twice!)
Unlocks	Biophilic Approach (by replacement)

Biophilic Approach

Attribute	Value
Speed	+
Emissions	-5
Cost	8 Industry, 0 People, 8 Science
Build Time	190s (4.75 rounds)
Rebates	2 Industry, -60 Emissions
Event Modifiers	- Climate Change Denial, - Anti Enviro Movement, - Disinformation Campaign, - Disinformation Campaign (not sure why in there twice!)
Unlocks	A Global Oasis (by replacement)

A Global Oasis

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ + + +
Emissions	-15
Cost	20 Industry, 20 People, 10 Science
Build Time	400s (10 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	Immediate Victory
Unlocks	Immediate Victory

Minimum Costs

Assuming Industry 20th Century is free:

• 35 Industry (-4 Industry in rebates)
  
• 24 People
  
• 19 Science
  
• 910 seconds (15 minutes, 10 seconds) (22.75 rounds)
  
• -170 Emissions in rebates

People, Deterministic Victory

This is the non-randomized path for a People sector victory.

Tech Progression

Societal Change

Attribute	Value
Speed	+
Emissions	1
Cost	0 Industry, 2 People, 0 Science
Build Time	50s (1.25 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Idea Incubator, Decarbonization Laws, Lifestyle Changes

Lifestyle Changes

Note that this may also be unlocked by an event. But since this is a deterministic guide, I include it in the tallies.

Attribute	Value
Speed	-
Emissions	-2
Cost	3 Industry, 0 People, 0 Science
Build Time	40s (1 round)
Rebates	2 People
Event Modifiers	- No to Consumerism
Unlocks	Voluntary Frugality, Circular Economy , Loss & Damage Aid

Circular Economy

Attribute	Value
Speed	+0.5
Emissions	-1
Cost	2 Industry, 2 People, 0 Science
Build Time	90s (2.25 rounds)
Rebates	1 Industry
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Decentralized Economy

Decentralized Economy

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ +
Emissions	-1
Cost	4 Industry, 4 People, 0 Science
Build Time	80s (2 rounds)
Rebates	-40 Emissions
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Degrowth (by replacement), Doughnut Economy (by replacement)

Choice: Degrowth or Doughnut Economy

You have a choice of two cards to progress. Both lead to victory.
Degrowth

Attribute	Value
Speed	+0.5
Emissions	-4
Cost	6 Industry, 6 People, 0 Science
Build Time	90s (2.25 rounds)
Rebates	1 Science
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Eco-Symbiosis (by replacement)

Doughnut Economy

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ +
Emissions	-2
Cost	0 Industry, 7 People, 7 Science
Build Time	70s (1.75 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Eco-Symbiosis (by replacement)

Eco-Symbiosis

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ + + +
Emissions	-20
Cost	20 Industry, 20 People, 0 Science
Build Time	70s (1.75 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	Immediate Victory
Unlocks	Immediate Victory

Minimum Costs

Degrowth path:

• 35 Industry (-1 Industry in rebates)
  
• 34 People (-2 People in rebates)
  
• 0 Science (-1 Science in rebates)
  
• 420 seconds (7 minutes) (10.5 rounds)
  
• -40 Emissions in rebates

Doughnut Economy path:

• 29 Industry (-1 Industry in rebates)
  
• 35 People (-2 People in rebates)
  
• 7 Science
  
• 400 seconds (6 minutes, 40 seconds) (10 rounds)
  
• -40 Emissions in rebates

Science, Deterministic Victory

This is the non-randomized path for a Science sector victory.

Tech Progression

Science Funding

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ + +
Emissions	0
Cost	2 Industry, 0 People, 0 Science
Build Time	50s (1.25 rounds)
Rebates	1 Science
Event Modifiers	+ Fringe Research
Unlocks	Emission Cleaning, Science Incubator, Research Centers

Research Centers

Attribute	Value
Speed	+
Emissions	0
Cost	3 Industry, 0 People, 3 Science
Build Time	80s (2 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	+ Climate Apathy
Unlocks	Advanced Robotics, Geoengineering

Geoengineering

Attribute	Value
Speed	+
Emissions	1
Cost	4 Industry, 0 People, 3 Science
Build Time	100s (2.5 rounds)
Rebates	2 People
Event Modifiers	+ Widespread Cancer
Unlocks	???, Meteorological Models, Atmospheric Aerosols

Atmospheric Aerosols

Attribute	Value
Speed	+
Emissions	-2
Cost	7 Industry, 5 People, 0 Science
Build Time	90s (2.25 rounds)
Rebates	-100 Emissions
Event Modifiers	+ Widespread Cancer, + Unpredictable Weather, + Regional Clima Collapse, + Ecological Disturbance, + Agricultural Calamity, + War On Science, + Tragic Harvest, + Local Protests
Unlocks	Radiative Cooling, Space Mirrors , ???

Space Mirrors

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ + +
Emissions	-5
Cost	15 Industry, 10 People, 0 Science
Build Time	290s (7.25 rounds)
Rebates	+250 Emissions (be careful!)
Event Modifiers	+ Kessler Syndrome, + Regional Clima Collapse, + Asteroid Swarm, + Local Protests, + Lack of Rare Minerals
Unlocks	Planetary Thermostat (by replacement)

Planetary Thermostat

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ + + +
Emissions	-20
Cost	20 Industry, 20 People, 30 Science
Build Time	400s (10 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	Immediate Victory
Unlocks	Immediate Victory

Minimum Costs

• 51 Industry
  
• 35 People (-2 People in rebates)
  
• 36 Science (-2 Science in rebates)
  
• +250 Emissions in negative impacts (-100 Emissions in rebates)
  
• 1,010 seconds (16 minutes, 50 seconds) (25.25 rounds)

People, Randomized Victory

This is the randomized path for a People sector victory. It involves a randomized card draw.

Tech Progression

Societal Change

Attribute	Value
Speed	+
Emissions	1
Cost	0 Industry, 2 People, 0 Science
Build Time	50s (1.25 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Idea Incubator , Decarbonization Laws, Lifestyle Changes

Idea Incubator

Attribute	Value
Speed	+
Emissions	1
Cost	0 Industry, 2 People, 0 Science
Build Time	50s (1.25 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Random People-Pool Card

Rage Against Machines

This is a randomized draw from the Idea Incubator's pool of five cards.

Attribute	Value
Speed	- - - -
Emissions	1
Cost	0 Industry, 2 People, 2 Science (increases as you redraw random cards!!!)
Build Time	100s (2.5 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Tribal Culture (by replacement)

Tribal Culture

Attribute	Value
Speed	- - - -
Emissions	-10
Cost	10 Industry, 10 People, 0 Science
Build Time	230s (5.75 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	+ + War On Science
Unlocks	No Tech Civilization (by replacement)

No Tech Civilization

Attribute	Value
Speed	- - - -
Emissions	-15
Cost	15 Industry, 15 People, 0 Science
Build Time	300s (7.5 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	Immediate Victory
Unlocks	Immediate Victory

Minimum Costs

The cost is impacted by randomization in the Random People-Pool Card draw, primarily by wasting time, people, and science resources.

• 25 Industry
  
• 31 People
  
• 2 Science
  
• 730 seconds (12 minutes, 10 seconds) (18.25 rounds)

Science, Randomized Victory

This is the randomized path for a Science sector victory. It involves a randomized card draw.

Tech Progression

Science Funding

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ + +
Emissions	0
Cost	2 Industry, 0 People, 0 Science
Build Time	50s (1.25 rounds)
Rebates	1 Science
Event Modifiers	+ Fringe Research
Unlocks	Emission Cleaning, Science Incubator , Research Centers

Science Incubator

Attribute	Value
Speed	+
Emissions	0
Cost	0 Industry, 2 People, 0 Science
Build Time	50s (1.25 rounds)
Rebates	1 Industry
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Random Science-Pool Card

Space Research

This is a randomized draw from the Science Incubator's pool of five cards.

Attribute	Value
Speed	+0.5
Emissions	2
Cost	0 Industry, 2 People, 2 Science (increases as you redraw random cards!!!)
Build Time	120s (3 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Moon Commuting

Moon Commuting

Attribute	Value
Speed	+0.5
Emissions	2
Cost	0 Industry, 4 People, 7 Science
Build Time	140s (3.5 rounds)
Rebates	2 People, +200 Emissions (be careful!!!)
Event Modifiers	+ Climate Apathy, + Youth Revolt
Unlocks	New Habitable Planet (by replacement)

New Habitable Planet

Attribute	Value
Speed	+0.5
Emissions	0
Cost	3 Industry, 0 People, 9 Science
Build Time	90s (2.25 rounds)
Rebates	2 People
Event Modifiers	None
Unlocks	Departure of Some (by replacement)

Departure of Some

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ +
Emissions	7
Cost	10 Industry, 0 People, 10 Science
Build Time	200s (5 rounds)
Rebates	+300 Emissions (be careful!!!)
Event Modifiers	+ Climate Apathy, + Youth Revolt
Unlocks	Planet B Colonized (by replacement)

Planet B Colonized

Attribute	Value
Speed	+ + + +
Emissions	5
Cost	15 Industry, 0 People, 20 Science
Build Time	300s (7.5 rounds)
Rebates	None
Event Modifiers	Immediate Victory
Unlocks	Immediate Victory

Minimum Costs

The cost is impacted by randomization in the Random Science-Pool Card draw, primarily by wasting time, people, and science resources.

• 30 Industry (-1 Industry in rebates)
  
• 8 People (-4 People in rebates)
  
• 48 Science (-1 Science in rebates)
  
• +500 Emissions in direct impacts
  
• 950 seconds (15 minutes, 50 seconds) (23.75 rounds)

[Oknaa]

yeah i did it too

[KingKiller12779]

I actually made it, so it needs to be possible

[Blaystro]

Each turns last 40s, not 60s. Therefore, I'm not even sure the 60 rounds achievement is even possible now. Anybody succeeded ?

[Perfect Info]

Thanks for catching that!

I actually did the math for the resources in my head, so I guess I dropped something along the way. Now that I have the card data-set, I might replace this with an auto-generated output.

[Valguris]

People Deterministic Victory summary costs is incorrect. Degrowth path costs a total of 34 people with -2 rebates, while Doughnut Economy path costs 35 people with -2 rebates. I didn't check any other calculations; I just noticed this one, since the difference between these 2 paths should be 1 people token.