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Decided to try your advice here in my current game as Rurik The Troublemaker. Parlayed my Intelligent trait into having 16 geniuses among my living family (64) members. That's all in generations 3-5 as Rurik was only Intelligent as is my current Ruler Þòrdr King of Gardariki. He's getting old at 66 after living a lifetime battling stress but it's only 935 AD and I've got 41 of the 62 Counties needed to establish the Russian Empire.
lol nothing to worry about...this is definitely one of those deep dive kind of guides. The game is very playable and enjoyable without any of this knowledge really!
https://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=2846475771
Most 16 year old characters in the game have a fertility of around 50% without modifiers because the base fertility in the game is 0.5. You can verify this by changing the base fertility rate in defines and see how it affects the characters fertility rates. For example if you set the base fertility to 0.4 the fertility of all characters with no modifiers drop to 40%
I think the fertility of a character in the game is calculated like this
base fertility x age modifier + fertility from traits
Fertility for any 16 year old character without traits
0.5x1 = 0.5 = 50% fertility
Pregnancy chance for any 16 year old couple without trait modifiers
4.75x (0.5 + 0.5)/2 = 4.75x0.5 = 2.375