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Nel forum "Off Topic"
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First word - last word
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Yrliet misses more than anyone else
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spammdc
Messaggio originale di tempest.of.emptiness:
Messaggio originale di spammdc:
My experience has been vastly different from yours in this regard.
I agree it should not but in fact I have seen it occur.
Messaggio originale di spammdc:
In BG3 and W40K:RT I have often seen very strange rolls ie very high nor very low) when I have had browser and game app updates hanging in the back ground.
The human mind is an engine for extracting patterns from sensory input. It does that quite well, but it doesn't know when to stop. It will extract patterns even when none exist. In the worst cases of this in the past, we have ended up with people convinced that human sacrifices would cause rain.

I have no doubt that you have observed what you say you observed. There isn't a connection between your die rolls in a game and pending updates to other software. That's just your mind, sure that there must be a cause, reaching out and forming a connection that doesn't exist in an attempt to understand the cause - when in reality, the cause is just randomness. That is so hard for our minds to accept because random numbers don't conform to human expectations. However, it isn't less true because it is hard to accept.

As someone who was trained as a mathematician, chemist and physicist you are trained to not see patterns where they do not exist.

So in my first 4-5 W40K:RT games there was an encounter where pasqual missed his first shot every time. In my third game I started looking at the logs and saw he was rolling in the high 80's and 90's every time, across all of the games. But it was fixed some how in DLC 1.
In my last 2 BG3 games (the latest yesterday) at one point an NPC attacked the same PC and rolled double 20's to hit and very high damage, over 70 total when PC's are level 9. Also in my last 2 games of BG3 Karlac in multiple combats rolled nat 1's for the first attack in the first 2 rounds followed by the next enemy rolling a nat 20, each time over 2 rounds.
In the past 2 months I had 1 case where 6 out of 15 rolls was a nat 20 in BG3 and then the game quit and I had to re-verify my game files and everything went back to a more normal pattern (ie lost of rolls in the 2-6 range, few in the 9-11 range and few nat 20's vs nat 1's)

I also play with mods in my later games of W40K:RT and BG3 and realize that that might be an issue.

I understand statistics and unusual things/occurrences and extrapolation from small data sets as well as using statistical analysis on small data sets.
I also understand the 7 layer model and how it is suppose to work but I can say the almost every time I have some strange die rolls or a series of strange die rolls I also have a app/program needing to be updated (ie browser, game app, etc) and by simply doing that update this get back to a more normal situation.
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