Elections to the German Bundestag - Whom will be the big winners?

[AdahnGorion]

Wellcome to the German Election 2025 thread on steam´s off topic.

As the title suggest, in this thread we will talk about the political elections in Germany this sunday and then try to talk about whom might be win, loss and so forth.

First lets talk about the system.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CsWDRHOLpkQ

List of parties (that are realistically large enough to make a dent) in Germany
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_OnO7uxmJzg

Who are the candiates?

Alice Weidel - AfD
Friedrich Merz - CDU
Olaf Scholz - SPD (The current Chancellor)
Robert Habeck - Die Grünen

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rvczSAMvptY


I personally think that we will see CDU take a landslide victory and that Friedrich Merz will end up as the next German chancellor. CDU already have a power politician in Ursula von der Leyen whom is the EU Commission president,

Then we have AfD, they will most likely have a pretty good election, but I don´t think they will gain any overall influence as nobody wants to work with them and hence even with a good election, they will not really gain much.

Die Grünen will see a huge decline and they will be the big losers of this election along with SPD, whom will also see albeit a slight degression in influence.

I also predict that we will see no große koalition this time along... but you never know what might happen ofc.. I predict we will see less smaller parties that get influence...


So what is your predictions? Do you think this will change much for Germany?
Are you German? if so.. do you wanna talk about your own experience or even whom you vote for and why?


Have a good election all Germans.

[trousers]

引用自 Echo NO Aim：

引用自 salamander：

really? has germany invaded any countries in the last decade? no? but russia has? interesting.

Germany invades Mallorca every year.

... wait, it's already Germany's 17th state.

and they steal all the ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ deckchairs ;_;

[Çapgun]

There is a promising party in the German elections, and that is afd. The other parties seem to be the party of daily life. Alice Weidel has carried her party to this stage as a leader. Yes, it is a great progress, but it was not enough. There are a few things to say about Mertzk. When he talks to Olaf, he acts as if he is joking, there is no seriousness at all. Afd will be in the presidency in two years at most. I have no doubt about that.

[Quillithe]

引用自 Çapgun：

There is a promising party in the German elections, and that is afd. The other parties seem to be the party of daily life. Alice Weidel has carried her party to this stage as a leader. Yes, it is a great progress, but it was not enough. There are a few things to say about Mertzk. When he talks to Olaf, he acts as if he is joking, there is no seriousness at all. Afd will be in the presidency in two years at most. I have no doubt about that.

I don't think Germans are that dumb

[datCookie]

引用自 Quillithe：

引用自 Çapgun：

There is a promising party in the German elections, and that is afd. The other parties seem to be the party of daily life. Alice Weidel has carried her party to this stage as a leader. Yes, it is a great progress, but it was not enough. There are a few things to say about Mertzk. When he talks to Olaf, he acts as if he is joking, there is no seriousness at all. Afd will be in the presidency in two years at most. I have no doubt about that.

I don't think Germans are that dumb

I wouldn't count on that, considering the AfD doubled their support since the last election, from 10% to 20%.

[Ogami]

引用自 datCookie：

I wouldn't count on that, considering the AfD doubled their support since the last election, from 10% to 20%.

20% has long been predicted to be the ceiling for the AFD and its voter base, as early as 2 years ago and its come down to exactly that. They been on 20% for months and then just "stopped".
Thats their voting base.
And that will never be enough to be in the government since every other party in Germany will not work with them, period.
They would need a single party majority, so at least 51% which is flat out impossible in Germany, even at the total high of popularity no party has ever managed that.
Does not matter if its 2 years or 20 years, there will never be a AFD led government.

Especially since todays election did show that the next generation of young voters overwhelmingly did go for "Die Linke" our leftmost socialist party.
25% of all votes in the 18-24 age bracket was for that party who came out at 9%, doubling their result from 2021.
AFD is not the only party which is on the rising path right now.

[Quillithe]

As an aside, it's worth noting how heavily the divide is between former east and west Germany.

[Troll Hunter b]

Good news, CDU and AFD are in close race. I would see both parties would form a government in Germany. Good riddance for SPD which sided to distant 3rd place.

Update: Chancellor Olaf Scholz conceded defeat, it's over for SPD

https://www.npr.org/2025/02/23/nx-s1-5306403/center-right-germany-election-results-far-right-afd

[Quillithe]

引用自 coolboyz2626：

Good news, CDU and AFD are in close race. I would see both parties would form a government in Germany. Good riddance for SPD which sided to distant 3rd place.

I got some news for you is you think AfD is going to be part of the government over SPD

[Troll Hunter b]

引用自 Quillithe：

引用自 coolboyz2626：

Good news, CDU and AFD are in close race. I would see both parties would form a government in Germany. Good riddance for SPD which sided to distant 3rd place.

I got some news for you is you think AfD is going to be part of the government over SPD

I updated my comment, SPD conceded defeat.

[Ogami]

引用自 coolboyz2626：

I updated my comment, SPD conceded defeat.

I mean, yes? This was known months ago that SPD would lose this election.
This will be a CDU + SPD "Great Coalition" government with Merz as chancellor and Pistorius from the SPD ( currently defense minister) as vice chancellor.

NOBODY wants to work with the AFD, both the winner (CDU) and the losers (SPD) have already confirmed that there will be no talks with the AFD.
And since both BSW and FDP did not make the 5% cut a simple CDU + SPD alliance will be enough to get a total majority in the Bundestag.

So the same government we had for like 12 years under Merkel.
The more things change, the more they stay the same.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[Quillithe]

引用自 coolboyz2626：

引用自 Quillithe：

I got some news for you is you think AfD is going to be part of the government over SPD

I updated my comment, SPD conceded defeat.

Updating your comment isn't going to get AfD into any government coalition.

It's not going to happen, it's absolutely going to include CDU and SPD because CDU isn't actually trying to alienate it's voter base and destroy itself.

[Troll Hunter b]

引用自 Quillithe：

引用自 coolboyz2626：

I updated my comment, SPD conceded defeat.

Updating your comment isn't going to get AfD into any government coalition.

It's not going to happen, it's absolutely going to include CDU and SPD because CDU isn't actually trying to alienate it's voter base and destroy itself.

Umm did you even follow the election? SPD got their butts handed to them. CDU and AFD is a wiser choice since both of them are in close majorities.

[Senator Armstrong]

Westerners are hilarious.

Preserving culture and national identity didn't matter when they were colonizing and destroying most of the world for centuries.
Now they see people, from countries they benefited greatly from destroying, in their country and all of a sudden preserving culture and national identity matters.

Life in West is great largely due to horrible crimes done in the past in Latin America, Africa, and Asia. They owe it to those people to share that wealth if they are seeking a better life.

[Quillithe]

引用自 coolboyz2626：

引用自 Quillithe：

Updating your comment isn't going to get AfD into any government coalition.

It's not going to happen, it's absolutely going to include CDU and SPD because CDU isn't actually trying to alienate it's voter base and destroy itself.

Umm did you even follow the election? SPD got their butts handed to them. CDU and AFD is a wiser choice since both of them are in close majorities.

Ah, you're just trolling I guess

[Troll Hunter b]

引用自 Quillithe：

引用自 coolboyz2626：

Umm did you even follow the election? SPD got their butts handed to them. CDU and AFD is a wiser choice since both of them are in close majorities.

Ah, you're just trolling I guess

Ah, you're just trolling I guess.. why would CDU risk anger from AFD by allying the loser of the election? Sorry that doesn't make sense.