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回報翻譯問題
Actual chinese citizens seem be be far more pi**ed off about their govs incompetence considering Covid than some tiny island acting on it´s own (like it has for the last 70 or so years anyways).
And yes all the fuss about "invading Taiwan" is exactly that: hot air made for online forums so their own citizens taking a peek into the real internet find exactly that- illiterate ramblings about half truths thrown around in conjunction with nuclear armageddon despite citizen Byte-Fu kicking in the teeth of the most advanced and oppressive orwelian nightmare that the CCP`s surveilance apperatus is.
China will want to take taiwan, if taiwan got a huge international backing and became an actual widely recognized country then it would probly host a USA base and China already has major geographical problems that it deals with when it comes to projecting power, this would be waaaay unacceptable too them.
It has to do with more of this administration policies . The rest is is usual internet forums doing what they do best.
its stinky and also negative.
China might be able to stop Taiwan from existing soon but if the Taiwanese people don’t loose hope Taiwan could come back on the map in several hundred years like Spain did.
That would be a real shame.
Why is China being a bully?
China’s only real response is an island-wide sustained saturation bombing, which would essentially be an open genocide. Taiwan has enough anti-missile equipment stockpiled to fend off such an attack for about a month at China’s maximum output.
Such an attack would utterly destroy China’s credibility and diplomatic ties abroad, and severely cripple the reputation they rely on to do business. This would lead to a one to two decade recession of moderate to severe scope depending on how they handled it, and a reputation as an openly genocidal state which would fuel unrest across the country and harm their image for a hundred years.
There’s also the potential that Taiwan, being a technologically competent and highly profitable nation, has a network of chemical laser installations which would render a sustained bombardment genuinely pointless and ineffective. As long as they could keep them powered. Israel has a joke economy and they had one. It was so effective they had to shut it down as it was threatening their expansion interests.
Between the ability to control the sea routes and secure the airspace it’s likely Taiwan could continue to trade and do business as usual, and woe betide anyone who attacks merchant vessels supplying them.
They are also themselves one of the major players in global soft power and gathering support, so it’s likely they could paint China as the aggressor without too much trouble.
Maybe China has some kind of space laser or teleporting missile, but it’s unlikely and would still completely ruin strategies they’ve been committed to. Which isn’t a total disaster for them in theory, but would be a bold change that it would be very hard to get people to support internally.
Flexing is pretty much the only thing either side can do, and it’s likely to stay that way.
Silicon chips will be soon outdated. Holographic chips will become the next thing.
The chinish put trade, economy and prosperity (of the rich few), much above (raw) militaristic might. Plus, taiwanese are actually chinese, too. Civil war is usually much harder to happen, compared against clash between bitter enemies. Also, nato has bombed that area in the past (that was the first "war" in recent europe, not vladimir's operation -which wasn't technically even in "europe"-).
Even in warfare, there is a thing called "pattern", too. I can see one (re)emerging.
atm the real situation is
1. China's navy suck ass. With the USA and Japan nearby they can pretty much repel them easily plus any other country. Ironically they rely on water ways for imports especially...you guessed it...food! Take that away a waiting game till they starve out and surrender
2. The monopoly Taiwan controls over computer chips and other tech stuff is a wake up call for others to start investing in their home productions
3. It'll be a Ukraine Vs Russia. Both sides will suck and just beat down whatever is leftover. If any country with a jet intervenes it's over!!!!