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Games bought on GOG, do not come with a steamkey.
edit:
Ninja'd.
I can't promise that their data is 100% accurate, but they keep an eye on many shops and their prices, and also give you a "price history" graph for each game.
It's up to you whether you want to use that to make guesses about sales, but it can give you an impression on the kind of pricing you can reasonably expect.