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This is getting to much into the details that vary from game to game. You said you would be replacing fighters $$$, then also going heavy infantry $$$, so not really sure what the main goal is anymore. Basically there is always give and take. I would happily trade the German Airforce is what I am saying. I would even do it twice. I think it would open up other parts of the board for the allies.
Also a good US player will have continuous pressure not waves that are based on turns. They will keep adding transports every round till they are maxed out always landing in some place to add pressure.
Will it work everytime? No! But there's a high probability usa will look for another way, or you will sack Russia, taking pressure off of Germany for good
What if Germany doesn't get that many IPC's. Then do you still replace the fighters?
Lets say Russia wins big in the first round and stacks WR and is trading the eastern front. Then would you replace fighters?
What if all the German fighters are killed in the battle? Do you replace the fighters?
To say "this" or" that" will always happen doesn't really work.
Last thing you want is uninhibited usa coming at you.
Also letting ussr thin out and advance can give the allied a false sense of security, clearing the path to ussr.