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historically though sparta and its peloponnesian league won this war so with previous AC games in mind this will most likely not be different from reality in this one.
the war is dynamic, even if you are not in a region or even if you did not weaken a region, no province can get conquered forever, it is a constand getting weakened, getting conqeured, getting defended, getting reconquered and so on which happens with or without your intervention.
the reason i said that most likely sparta will win the war in AC anyway is because the AC series usually do not change the outcome of major historical events. Sparta won the war in reality so with the AC series in mind it most likely will win the war in the AC universe too.
And before you try it, you cannot get Athens' status to low even if you raid their only fort (in the northwest of Attika, I think) in record time and move on to kill as many soldiers as you can -- in the prison and on the walls, and in the house, etc. You can't drop their power level to low and force a battle. Sadly, the devs seem to have considered every workaround we might come up with to finish the war.
Historically the war did go on for another 30 years after the time the game is set and ended with the victory of Sparta.
You cant change that. AC games toy with historical events and characters but they dont change historical facts/outcomes.
Sparta won the war IRL so no. Also, why would you want Athens to win? They were exploiting the Delian League, which was meant to end as soon as Persia was no longer a threat. Yet Athens used it as an excuse to force their will on the other city-states of Greece, essentially trying to carve out an Athenian Empire. Sparta, on the other hand, may have been militaristic and reliant on slavery, but they weren't expansionist in the slightest. And it's not like mercy was a foreign concept to them. When the war actually ended, Thebes, Corinth, etc. all wanted to punish Athens by razing their city and sowing their lands with salt. Sparta was the one that said "no, let them be, they're no longer a threat so they should have the chance to rebuild and recover from the war." It's also worth noting that if Athens DID found an empire, it may very well have prevented Macedon from rising to prominence under Phillip II, which in turn would have denied us one of the most significant historical figures ever, Alexander the Great. So yeah, I'm glad Sparta won.