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Basically, the chance for the shop is calculated when you enter a shop location and the chance is pretty good.
Most people haven't exactly done the trial and error to work out the chances or every detail. The one thing that we are sure about is that once you find the shop, it will stay in that location for one hour. Also, if the shop is found somewhere then until it disappears it won't appear in another location.
We suspect that if you go into an area and the shop isn't there, then it will locked out of there for an hour.
The last thing to be sure of is that on shop days, (any day where the tectonic terror news shows green metals as one of the features), the shop has exceptionally high chance of showing up in the shop location on third floor or 27th floor. Almost guaranteed chance, so on Wednesday, Friday, and Sunday, you can be sure the shop will show up in those locations as long as you haven't found it somewhere else before going to those spots.
Before, l was non stop going to floor 39 because of ebata and chemo oil but it most of time it doesnt appear there. I wanted to check out shop in floor 20-30 but its not showing at all. So l gave up and went back to floor 10-20 and now it has appeared again...
so l dont really understand the part where you said "We suspect that if you go into an area and the shop isn't there, then it will locked out of there for an hour." because it was more than an hour when it was locked out for.
l am more interested in floor 10-20, 20-30 so l can buy those faction metals that bosses dont provide. Also 1-10 but thats not as urgent...yet. floor 30-40, l can get all of them so buying them just speeds up the progress.
As for "We suspect that if you go into an area and the shop isn't there." It means if you enter a shop room and he isn't there, then he will not have a chance of appearing there for at least an hour. So don't try that room again until an hour has passed. Of course I also said "suspect" which means we don't know, so you can try that room as often as you want, but no one has exactly reported that they have been able to get a shop to appear just by exiting and reentering constantly.
From the long term players and veterans down to the newest players, finding the moving shop is really just a few sentences of info.
He can appear in a shop room and it is determined only as you enter the shop room. It is random. If he appears or does not appear, that room will stay like that for an hour. If he is in a shop room somewhere he can't appear in another shop room until he moves. The shop days are the highest chance and there are only two shops with that increased chance.
That is about all there is. There really isn't any guaranteed way to determine where he will be. You always have to go looking for him.
Shop will stay in the same place for about 50 mins/an hour after you find it (I'm not sure the exact timer, I've heard both) including on shop days. If you visit the 3f shop on shop day you have to wait out the timer before visiting the 27f shop.
The shops you would find that you know will be on one of the floors, this is just going to be a guessing game as there's no way of knowing what one he will be at. One day he be on floor 9, compare to finding him as often on floor 3, but again there's no way of knowing what floor he spawn on, so you have to visit the other spot he spawn at, don't worry he won't spawn somewhere else, unless it's a new day, as you get your login daily which the map rotates. Also please note he restocks every hour, so if farming for something from him, just go on an escalator for an hour, then come back up.
Days such as wednesday, friday, sunday, you wanat to get to floor 27, as he spawn there, with rare loot, you will want to bring a lot of money if you want to buy a lot of the rare loot, please note he will restock the items you buy, every hour. That means, you have to come back in an hour, so basically you can go on escalator, and wait there for an hour, then come back up to buy your stuff again.