Blood on Ice Glitch

[Overgrown Lizard]

I know that this quest is very glitchy, but after hundreds of hours of playing Skyrim I finally got around to doing it and it's glitched. The killer (I'm not gonna say his name because of spoilers) just walks to the market and sits there. I wrongly accused the magician and the killer struck again, so I was to patrol stone quarter the next night. Then this glitch happens. Pictures: http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=705657446
http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=705657513

[Dadelus]

You might be too early. He attacks Arivanya (female at the stables) about 8 pm. If she isn't there then no attack will occur. Usually, he follows her around town for a bit before he attacks. Has she been killed (by a dragon attack?).

Try waiting 24 hours and get to the location just prior to 8 pm.

You could try console <prid 0001B144> then <moveto player> to gett Arivanya to the right location if she is alive but not showing up.

[Eternie]

You are sneaking in the first pic but you are quite close to him ... are you making him aware of your presence and then expecting him to do a murder while you watch?!

He is supposed to be hard to catch has been avoiding the guard and murdering people for a long time for all the bone fragments you find. When you get told to patrol the wording is usually a bit vague saying the next night ... but it can happen that evening.

Personally I'd avoid using console commands to solve any quest issues unless you want to risk making your skyrim more unstable.

But reloading a previous save going to the steward at dusk so the message you get will be active that night and then wait for him in the stonequarter using the aura shout to see him approach and only react as he goes into sneak mode.

[Vic Evicerator]

Arvinaya is not the only possible target. He killed Nilsine Shatter-Shield in one of my playthroughs. If whoever the script selects as his target is far away the script does just what the OP describes - he gets there and waits for the target to get into position. If you try to interact the game gives the message "This character is busy" - I don't think this is a bug, just scripts operating at the edge of their tolerances.

[Mr. Monday]

Do a quick save and then kill him. If you get a bounty, just reload from the save and wait an hour.

[Overgrown Lizard]

Ok thanks! I'll try these options and see if they work

[Overgrown Lizard]

Ok, so the problem was that no target was showing up, not that I was too close to him. I used the console commands and then he tried to kill Arvinaya and I killed him. Thanks to you all though for helping!