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That said, from a logical perspective the Empire would win the war and make the most sense given the foreshadowing towards a second war, but from a story perspective the Stormcloaks could be a good choice since it would make things harder for the forces opposing the Dominion. That way if they want to make the next game during the war the Empire would be a serious underdog and people generally like underdog heroes and if they want to make it after the war it's more likely Tamriel will be under Dominion rule, which would be nice for a change of setting from the previous games.
An Imperial victory=A weaker Empire with a weakened embittered Skyrim being its last reliable ally, but the status quo is largely maintained.
Independent Skyrim=A nearly collapsed Empire in a bitter fight for survival struggles to remain afloat, with a chaotic international crisis as old alliances fail and new ones are forged, the Aldmeri Dominion being the only clear contender for success in the looming Second Great War.
There's a lot more to the second one with a greater number of story choices to go along with it.
Now the cannon ending changes the very nature of Tamrielic warfare, with the Mongols sweeping across Tamriel with the the Chinese siege engineering auxilliary brigades, forcing enemies onto the open field to face their superior cavalry and mobility. With this introduction of the cannon, and gunpowder warfare in general, to the face of Nirn, the various nations, peoples, and factions across Tamriel would soon develop their own gunpowder technology, that as it advances over time, renders melee combat as a risky, often last resort style. Only the fastest learning and most powerful/versatile mages stay alive in combat for very long, operating more as a functioning feature of squads and platoons of soldiers rather than the glorious rulers of the battlefield they once were, destruction magic becoming increasingly obsolete with cheap and plentiful ingredients requiring only at a minimum a basic level of alchemical skills providing a quick alternative to the expensive maintainence and lengthy training of combat mages, with most heavy armor and great weapons being dropped in favour of the mobility provided by even the cheapest of light weapons and armor. As firearms advance, mages see a revival in their importance in warfare, but not in what was seen as conventional members operating on large battlefields directly alongside their comrades, but rather as specialized forces: destruction, illusion, and alteration mages primarily serving as guerrilla, sabotour, and counterintelligence soldiers that work in special units, causing destruction on marching troops and confusion among enemy movements, reigning in chaos and deception. Restoration mages, now more important than ever, see a renewed emphasis placed on their school.
States now begin seeking how to turn the tide in their favor, assigning teams of mages and alchemists to work together on secret projects designing weapons capable of destructive capacities only witnessed twice before in Tamrielic history.
These new weapons of mass destruction now proliferate across Tamriel, and what happens next has yet to be seen...
1. Elisif remaining as a Jarl of Solitude (as said above).
2. New war against the Thalmor lead Dominion. Both Tullius and Ulfic made it clear that war against Dominion will continue, after Civil War in Skyrim is over.
- If Stormcloaks win the war, Ulfric leads Nords to attack directly against Summerset Isles. This act can be considered more or less suicidial, but Empire is unlikely stand watching by, even if Skyrim detached from it.
- If Empire wins the war, they have enough proof of Thalmor being part of orchestrating Skyrim Civil War. Tullius says that war against Dominion starts again. Nords remain as part of the Empire.
In either case, White-Gold Concordant is no more, war against Dominion continues and Nords are part of it - with or without Ulfric leading them.
I'm sure that, regarding point 2, that TES 6 will be far enough away and long enough after TES 5 that there won't be any real need to clear up who leads what charge, too. Whomever won will die bravely against the Thalmor at the start of the Second War, and TES 6 will either take place at the end of the war (with the Hero bringing an end to it?) or just after it, playing clean up in as of yet unnamed province.