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Is Susanna dead in the graveyard? Are the three witnesses there? Is the guard there?
If Susanna is NOT dead, go see her in the inn. Then go do some questing somewhere else for a week or two.
I have had the quest start on the first day of a new game, and have seen it start as late as weeks after the start.
By the way, I ve found the butcher notes + strange amulet + butcher journal 3. The quest hasn't started anyhow.
What you posted isn't a spoiler either.
I simply lockpicked the house in Windhelm and found all those items inside the house. The quest didn't start before hand. I also lockpicked the Curious house and took his Journal 3 inside the chest.
I do not really recommend it, but you may be better off trying to do the quest via console commands. Either that or simply ignore that particular quest until your next playthrough.
Ty for responding.
I tried using the console to start quest as a last resource. It simply said in the console "GetInFaction >> 0.0"
Start a new game go to Windhelm during the day, leave and do something else till 7pm +, then return, you only have to go inside the gate, then leave and come back into the city mid morning, then you should see people standing around the grave.
You will also know if the quest has started if someone says to you "my friend died".
Blood on the Ice
The man who cried wolf
Azura's Star
None have failed to start for me, show some patience and avoid using the console, that's akin to cheating.
Possible issues with starting the quest;
From: https://en.uesp.net/wiki/Skyrim:Blood_on_the_Ice#Initiating_the_Quest