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those who have read the book ( The Stolen throne ), would instantly notice that the whole turning back on Cailan by Loghain has been very thing that cailan said him to do.
In short. During last years of war against Orlesians where Cailan and Loghain has been starting to win, yet during one of battles they lost huge majority of their army because Loghain and Rowan found out about kidnapping of Cailan who was standing behind the lines. They went on and rescued him but at the cost of army which has been routed with minimal orlesian losses. Cailan was devestated, said that next time they should make sure to leave him and lead the battle to win, to rescue the soldiers.
Loghain left him....to rescue the soldiers, wait out the storm.
That is has been a wrong thing to do against the blight though is a different mater.
He only spared his own soldiers so he could march them to Denerim and take control, where he threw away several of their lives in a useless civil war with the bannorn.
Too bad it's part of the comics and not the game, not everyone has opportunity to buy and read the novels based on game. That mention would've been interesting in game, if Anora mentioned that this happened back when there was war with Orlais.
I think if Wardens never successfully lit the pyre at top of the tower, Loghain's plan would've worked as in there wouldn't be civil war as many in army would speak out how the original plan failed. Of course, the plan went as it did and heroes did lit the signal and many Loghain apologists in-game try to cope with the fact Loghain got branded traitor.
One thing I don't know if there is answer to or not is how Darkspawn got into tower, it's something Alistair points out as well. Loghain definitely didn't work with Darkspawn, but maybe he knew about the underground tunnels beneath tower that might have been breached and wanted this to be obstacle for the Wardens.
He might not have worked with the Darkspawn, but I think its a safe bet that he knew about the tunnels but didn't care since he never intended on lighting the fires.
IIRC, the war with Orlais ended before or at the beginning of the Dragon Age. Cailan was only born afterwards.
@OP
Your complaints against Cailan seem to be his personality and that he fought the darkspawn? I don't see why you think defending against the Blight is a bad thing. Do you want the darkspawn to overrun Ferelden?
Do you just not agree to the battle that got so many people killed? Loghain was the one who planned that battle. Besides, it was a defensive battle. It was either fight or retreat. It's not as though they could tell the darkspawn they don't want to fight, so please don't attack...
IIRC, Cailan wanted to wait for Orlesian reinforcements, but Loghain insisted that the forces they had were enough. If there had been strong opposition (Duncan only offered token resistance), perhaps Cailan would have retreated.
As for his personality, he does seem like a man-child. Maybe it was an act, maybe not. However, once you see enough of the story, you learn that Cailan was actually more of a figurehead. Anora, Loghain's daughter and Cailan's wife, was the one who did the actual ruling of the country. Everyone has nothing but praises for her, so there aren't many complaints on Cailan's reign. Basically, his personality doesn't affect anything since someone else does the actual ruling.
Regarding Duncan, he is very much an "ends justify the means" kind of guy. I don't like him much either. However, if you think about it, recruiting you is actually saving you in everything except the human noble origin.
Magi - recruitment saves you from the Templars
City Elf - recruitment saves you from Vaughn's vengeance
Dalish Elf - recruitment saves you from dying of the taint
Dwarf Commoner - recruitment saves you from the carta killing you and dwarven bureaucracy imprisoning/executing/exiling you
Dwarf Noble - you voluntarily join to survive the Deep Roads