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回報翻譯問題
You already seem to know the whole "follow your card in the stack" thing. You can do it wherever it is.
One additional aspect might be that the cards obviously spread with different speed. If you see your card, on the bottom of the pile, move very fast, it is moving to the edge basically.
This can help sometimes.
Honestly, for 3 shuffle fast games, it'll remain random guessing without the right equipment to make it slower and 2 shuffles.
You can, by seeing the way they overlap. Go to a very easy 1 shuffle card gambit (like the first The Devil Appolyon gambit) with the ring that slows the shuffle, and you'll be able to follow any card easily
Once the cards "merge", only one card is visible, the front one. At this point, it is physically impossible to see any other card. If it was actual 3D and the perspective was different, then yes. But on the screen, it becomes 2D, so there is no chance to keep your eye on the card - except if it happens to be the top card, of course.
And when they split up again, you have four cards moving at the same time. Unfortunately, humans are not chameleons that can track different things moving into different directions at the same time ;)
With some training, you will be able to do a 50-50 estimate (did your card go more to the back of the stack, or more to the front?), but that's about it.
But some cards like the pickpocket one are simply terrible beyond redemption.
You can track any card throughout the entire gambit because of this, with no need to estimate. Obviously the faster the shuffle and the more shuffles there are, the harder it is to keep track. But you can make it easier with equipment and blessings.
Where X is top card and 1,2,3 is the sequence of the cards. It is possible to have 2X13 or even 3X12 as you cannot determine the depth of the cards only the order you know them from before. And that is from after they shuffle. The same is applied when they gather in the beginning if you have 1 2 X 3 when they gather you cannot determine at what depth card '3' would be hence leading to the 50-50 that was referred.
What does the knowledge that a card has to travel a longer distance (in the same time) from the stack even give you? That doesn't give you any new information about where the card was before - it was in the stack.
Or do you mean that a card travelling INTO the stack will already be faster if it "knows" that it will end up further away from its initial position?
It isn't easy, especially if there are multiple shuffles where you need to think about the speed of the card you're following changing multiple times. If the base shuffle speed of the cards is
high (the whole thing can be faster or slower depending on encounter difficulty) as well as there being multiple shuffles then I often do just have to guess, because I'm not quick enough to keep up. But that is how it works.
That does not seem to matter in reality as all cards gather in a neutral state with is between 2nd and 3rd card and after the dispersion the left most and right most will be at an increased speed due to them being farther from the center. (same is applied when they gather initially)
What you are saying is that a cards speed gathering and dispersing would lead to position knowledge is more unreliable than actually remembering card sequence. At most it would lead to the same 50-50 chance as in no matter how you look at it if card 1 and 3 would swap places they would move at the same speed because neutral state would be between them (given none of them is top card)
I'll try to make an example. We'll keep it at one shuffle for simplicity. If it starts like this..
[1] [2] [3] [4]
And we'll say card 1 is going to end up in card 4's position, and card 4 is going to end up in card 3's position. So they'll end up here (2 and 3 could be reversed but ignore them)..
[3] [2] [4] [1]
Obviously the stack, the neutral point, takes place right in the middle. So cards 1 and 4 are travelling exactly the same distance to reach the stack. However because card 4 is only ending up one space from its starting point it will still move much slower than card 1 which is ending up three spaces away from its starting point, throughout the entire shuffle.
As I say, I might be wrong, but I'm like 99% sure I'm not lol. It just works out far too often, the only times I seem to fail are when I lose track of my card.
@Pendantry Yeah they can definitely reverse direction.
If that's the case... how do you spot that happening? (Seems to me that you can't.)