GSOR Draw example

[John Wick]

Again, WG trying to manipulate little kids minds into thinking that it is easy to get the main prize = the tank.

Example Draw
10 prizes, main prize has 0.01% chance, others have 11.11% chance, each time draw, a box is eliminated.... lets assume that the main prize is never drawn until it is dead last.
As you can CLEARLY see, WG creates a false illusion that you can get the tank with improved chances......It doesn't even get above 1% at the 9th draw for the main prize, and only at 100% at dead last.

WG, when are you going to stop lying to kids and stop the false manipulation?
I urge all to STOP spending $$$ on this game, period.


0.01 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11
Start with 10 choices, each with higher chance than the main prize of 0.01%
0.01 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11
probability of getting main prize 0.01%
0.01 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11
probability of getting main prize 0.01%
0.01 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11
probability of getting main prize 0.01%
0.01 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11
probability of getting main prize 0.02%
0.01 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11
probability of getting main prize 0.02%
0.01 11.11 11.11 11.11
probability of getting main prize 0.03%
0.01 11.11 11.11
probability of getting main prize 0.04%
0.01 11.11
probability of getting main prize 0.09%
0.01
probability of getting main prize 100.00%

[Catweazle]

dude... you are writing nonsense here. No surprise so far, but please check the facts before next similiar topic.
After the first draw the probability to get the GSOR raises to 0,08%. Still very low, but better than in your "table". Also, there are examples where the GSOR was given after only a few tries. Very unlikely, but each week we have big winners in the lotteries.

[John Wick]

The numbers I created are easier to calculate, and did not take the exact numbers from the Draw. It is to show that winning the main prize hardly improves after removing of others.

I guess you are also working for WG, which tries to manipulate players from the truth.

[« TheLostOblivion »]

Originally posted by John Wick:

Again, WG trying to manipulate little kids minds into thinking that it is easy to get the main prize = the tank.

Example Draw
10 prizes, main prize has 0.01% chance, others have 11.11% chance, each time draw, a box is eliminated.... lets assume that the main prize is never drawn until it is dead last.
As you can CLEARLY see, WG creates a false illusion that you can get the tank with improved chances......It doesn't even get above 1% at the 9th draw for the main prize, and only at 100% at dead last.

WG, when are you going to stop lying to kids and stop the false manipulation?
I urge all to STOP spending $$$ on this game, period.

im prob getting warned or muted for that but
mf they have right to do that, if you dont like it, just quit the game. stop complaining. everyone are ok with the new draw mechanic, because they dont use it, or use it from 1 to 2 times to not waste too much gold. could you just shtut up? literally nobody is going to spend 15k or more on funky lottery to get tier 8 premium tank

[John Wick]

Almost all Youtubers I find will never say that CRATES are any good, so why are you promoting it?

If you tell me to STFU, you better put your word out there to all those Youtubers to voice your opinion!!

Crates, keys, Draw.... same

[« TheLostOblivion »]

Originally posted by John Wick:

Almost all Youtubers I find will never say that CRATES are any good, so why are you promoting it?

If you tell me to STFU, you better put your word out there to all those Youtubers to voice your opinion!!

Crates, keys, Draw.... same

have you ever watched pantoufflee or even droodles??? both are saying that crates isnt good
or droodles might stop doing that since he kinda is addicted to wargaming
im not talking about meadsy69 because he cant say wrong things about crates because he got a concract with wg (CC account related stuff)

yeah you better just STFU, because everyone can be a youtuber but not everyone can have over 3k hours and more in a game and speak total bs about it

[John Wick]

You clowns should apply for a lawyer, marketing job for WG, you will get hired no problems...
Filtering all bad words for WG, only allowing good words, haha

[EL_Din_46]

Originally posted by « _Rodes »:

Originally posted by John Wick:

Almost all Youtubers I find will never say that CRATES are any good, so why are you promoting it?

If you tell me to STFU, you better put your word out there to all those Youtubers to voice your opinion!!

Crates, keys, Draw.... same

have you ever watched pantoufflee or even droodles??? both are saying that crates isnt good
or droodles might stop doing that since he kinda is addicted to wargaming
im not talking about meadsy69 because he cant say wrong things about crates because he got a concract with wg (CC account related stuff)

yeah you better just STFU, because everyone can be a youtuber but not everyone can have over 3k hours and more in a game and speak total bs about it

Meadsy just released a video where he says exactly that, at length.

American circus promoter P. T. Barnum once said "Any kind of publicity is good publicity as long as they spell your name right." CC's give Wargaming free publicity. They get access to new tanks before they are released, but promise not to release those videos too early. They can't break the EULA by using data mined information either.

https://youtu.be/9QpFvrFPEIU

[John Wick]

This are the actual numbers of the GSOR DRAW. I am assuming that I will not get the tank until it is last one, and also assuming roughly that the higher odds will be opened first.

Start with 11 choices, and their chances
the line below that is the probability of getting the tank

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36 3.82 3.82 4.02 16.06 68.83
0.08%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36 3.82 3.82 4.02 16.06
0.26%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36 3.82 3.82 4.02
0.53%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36 3.82 3.82
0.72%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36 3.82
1.10%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36
2.32%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36
3.83%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34
10.96%

0.08 0.08 0.23
20.51%

0.08 0.08
50.00%

0.08
100.00%

[« TheLostOblivion »]

Originally posted by John Wick:

You clowns should apply for a lawyer, marketing job for WG, you will get hired no problems...
Filtering all bad words for WG, only allowing good words, haha

as you COULD see if you would use your brain i used swear words espically for you to understand that i or other people dont work in wg but share REAL INFO unlike you

[« TheLostOblivion »]

Originally posted by EL_Din_46:

Originally posted by « _Rodes »:

have you ever watched pantoufflee or even droodles??? both are saying that crates isnt good
or droodles might stop doing that since he kinda is addicted to wargaming
im not talking about meadsy69 because he cant say wrong things about crates because he got a concract with wg (CC account related stuff)

yeah you better just STFU, because everyone can be a youtuber but not everyone can have over 3k hours and more in a game and speak total bs about it

Meadsy just released a video where he says exactly that, at length.

American circus promoter P. T. Barnum once said "Any kind of publicity is good publicity as long as they spell your name right." CC's give Wargaming free publicity. They get access to new tanks before they are released, but promise not to release those videos too early. They can't break the EULA by using data mined information either.

https://youtu.be/9QpFvrFPEIU

yoo i havent watched meads for a long time thanks for the vid
also didnt expect he was allowed to make sorta film like that

[« TheLostOblivion »]

Originally posted by John Wick:

This are the actual numbers of the GSOR DRAW. I am assuming that I will not get the tank until it is last one, and also assuming roughly that the higher odds will be opened first.

Start with 11 choices, and their chances
the line below that is the probability of getting the tank

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36 3.82 3.82 4.02 16.06 68.83
0.08%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36 3.82 3.82 4.02 16.06
0.26%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36 3.82 3.82 4.02
0.53%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36 3.82 3.82
0.72%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36 3.82
1.10%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36 1.36
2.32%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34 1.36
3.83%

0.08 0.08 0.23 0.34
10.96%

0.08 0.08 0.23
20.51%

0.08 0.08
50.00%

0.08
100.00%

ok cool and
if you want the tank just wait for it to appear in the shop
whats so big deal about it
if you dont like it dont take care about the draw
if someone wants to spend THEIR money on this "fair" (irony included if you cant realise it) method its their problem