Stardew Valley

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Fall fair spinning game rigged?
So i got to the fall fair, and won tokens etc. I went to the spinning thing, bet on orange, lost my tokens. Ok thats fair. I repeated this 7 times. Every time it was in the exact same place, the second wedge, of green. After losing 1000 tokens i decided to try green. after all, green eight times in a row means its likely to be green again. Nope, smack bang in the middle of orange, of course. So tell me, do I just have ♥♥♥♥ luck or is it actually rigged?
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Showing 1-15 of 44 comments
Originally posted by The Major:
after all, green eight times in a row means its likely to be green again.

Nope
It's actually still 50:50 ^^
Saint Landwalker Mar 7, 2016 @ 8:10am 
Originally posted by Waveshaper:
Originally posted by The Major:
after all, green eight times in a row means its likely to be green again.

Nope
It's actually still 50:50 ^^
Well, on a fair spin, yes. Any given spin is a 50/50 chance.

However, the results gathered by many people suggest that it is not, in fact, a fair spin.

However, the "unfairness" is not quite what the OP suffered. That was just crap luck. The evidence so far is that the wheel overwhelmingly favors the Green half. I played the wheel probably 20-30 times in my own game, and it landed on Orange perhaps six of those times. So somewhere between about 20-30% of the time, it came up Orange. Other people have done similar tests, with similar results.

What I ended up doing is I would bet about 1/4 of my funds on Green. If it came up Green, repeat. If it came up Orange, bet the original amount on Green again (and keep doing so... I only had consecutive Orange results once or twice). Repeat ad infinitum until you can purchase everything in the souvenir stall.
Originally posted by landwalker04:
Originally posted by Waveshaper:

Nope
It's actually still 50:50 ^^
Well, on a fair spin, yes. Any given spin is a 50/50 chance.

However, the results gathered by many people suggest that it is not, in fact, a fair spin.

However, the "unfairness" is not quite what the OP suffered. That was just crap luck. The evidence so far is that the wheel overwhelmingly favors the Green half. I played the wheel probably 20-30 times in my own game, and it landed on Orange perhaps six of those times. So somewhere between about 20-30% of the time, it came up Orange. Other people have done similar tests, with similar results.

What I ended up doing is I would bet about 1/4 of my funds on Green. If it came up Green, repeat. If it came up Orange, bet the original amount on Green again (and keep doing so... I only had consecutive Orange results once or twice). Repeat ad infinitum until you can purchase everything in the souvenir stall.
tried that, betting only 1 token each time, i have done it 76 times now, all on about 40 on green and 35 on orange, i havent won once. Is there a way to cheat tokens in? because ♥♥♥♥ it.
Saint Landwalker Mar 7, 2016 @ 8:15am 
Originally posted by The Major:
tried that, betting only 1 token each time, i have done it 76 times now, all on about 40 on green and 35 on orange, i havent won once. Is there a way to cheat tokens in? because ♥♥♥♥ it.
Very interesting.

I don't know of any way to cheat tokens into the game, unfortunately, but I'm sure there's one somewhere out there.
Kwangnoi Mar 7, 2016 @ 8:15am 
I tried around 10 time and it all green. I have high relationship with penny and she said she spin 10 time and win 10 time too, I dunno is that relate or not.
Vardis Mar 7, 2016 @ 8:37am 
Maybe your in-game luck stat is bad for the day?
joxertm22 Mar 7, 2016 @ 8:42am 
Originally posted by Waveshaper:
Originally posted by The Major:
after all, green eight times in a row means its likely to be green again.

Nope
It's actually still 50:50 ^^
No, it's rigged.
If it was 50:50, then there would be a chance of endless lose strike.

However it can't end on orange three times in a row. Can max go orange twice in a row and then third roll will end on green again.
And because of that fact, we can easily "win" all items. Here's the guide on how:
http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=638667970
Last edited by joxertm22; Mar 7, 2016 @ 8:45am
ASwarmOfKittenz Mar 7, 2016 @ 8:47am 
You all are blind. The arrow on the fortune wheel is obviously not centered.
Interknet Mar 7, 2016 @ 8:48am 
I always bet on Green. Bet 800 tokens, and it seems to give green all the time. It seems to go in your favour based on what amount you put in possibly?

I have an assumtion that it could go in your favour if an even number, and maybe in 10s.
Last edited by Interknet; Mar 7, 2016 @ 8:49am
Solar_Knight Mar 7, 2016 @ 8:54am 
Out of the 9 times I spun it, 8 of them were green. I basically won everything because the game was rigged in my favor :D
Originally posted by Interknet:
I always bet on Green. Bet 800 tokens, and it seems to give green all the time. It seems to go in your favour based on what amount you put in possibly?

I have an assumtion that it could go in your favour if an even number, and maybe in 10s.
ive tried every amount, in total i did it 136 times, with values ranging from 1 to 1500. i never won.
Speef Mar 7, 2016 @ 9:10am 
Just do the fishing game, that is how I won enough tokens to get everything from the fair shop, and don't EVEN go off about how hard fishing is lol Until you've caught the Legend you have nothing to say about the fishing mechanics. The fishing is easy as anything, especially at the fair!
Shandrolis Mar 8, 2016 @ 11:47am 
was this patched? I played 4 times, 3 of which were in orange.. am I just that unlucky? lol

edit:
nevermind, won the next 5 in a row :p
Last edited by Shandrolis; Mar 8, 2016 @ 11:50am
DuckyKoi Mar 8, 2016 @ 11:56am 
Spent the whole fair on fishing. You get 180-220 tokens per session if catch 5-7 fish. Never bothered with the other games because you get next to no tokens compared to fishing.
Saint Landwalker Mar 8, 2016 @ 11:58am 
Originally posted by Metatron:
Originally posted by landwalker04:

What I ended up doing is I would bet about 1/4 of my funds on Green. If it came up Green, repeat. If it came up Orange, bet the original amount on Green again (and keep doing so... I only had consecutive Orange results once or twice). Repeat ad infinitum until you can purchase everything in the souvenir stall.
This work in blackjack too. Start smal and double your bet after every loss on the same color. When you finally win you will get all your money back plus the initial bet. Takes awhile but its easy.
You mean Roulette, not Blackjack, and statistically, this would not work in Roulette over the long run because Roulette's colors aren't split 50/50. It's split 18/18/1 or 18/18/2, which means that your odds of black or red are less than 50%.

Over the short term, it might work, but over the infinitely long term (which is all the house really cares about), such a strategy favors the casino, not the player.
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Date Posted: Mar 7, 2016 @ 8:06am
Posts: 44