Dear dev, your gambling wheel is broken.

[Piece o' Hans]

During the stardew valley fair you can play a 50-50 chance(or so you'd think) game involving a orange and green spin-wheel.

Turns out it heavily favours green! I tallied down the amount of times green and orange where "chosen" and this was my result:

Green: 50
Orange: 25

So for you gamblers out there, always go green, but never bet more than you can afford to loose!

[SonarPup]

Well, I mean, without looking at the code it could technically just be that that's the run you had. You can flip a coin 25 times and have it land heads every single time. It doesn't happen often, but it is possible.

But yeah it's possible that it is straight-up coded wrong. Wouldn't be too surprised if it used a seed that happened to be a little screwy based on timing or something.

[Piece o' Hans]

Originally posted by SHFFLE - ケロ ケロ:

Well, I mean, without looking at the code it could technically just be that that's the run you had. You can flip a coin 25 times and have it land heads every single time. It doesn't happen often, but it is possible.

But yeah it's possible that it is straight-up coded wrong. Wouldn't be too surprised if it used a seed that happened to be a little screwy based on timing or something.

Eh of course it could just be a crazy lucky run, but I'm a little skeptical of that. And it's worth drawing attention to, just in case. :)

[ManRammer]

Roughly 1/3 to 1/4 of my 30-40 gamble attempts landed on orange. Rest on green. A lot of other ppl posting roughly the same conclusion, ie green is favoured.

[iNol]

Looks to me everytime you bet big, the wheel will take away your stars regardless of color. If bet small, you profit. It's a scam artist lol

[ASwarmOfKittenz]

Incase no one knew
http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=635184920
There are two holes, both are semi-circles or something.
Pointer arrow is on the upper one, making green more favorable.

My friend and I were talking about this and we agree that the circle is NOT a shadow. Otherwise the arrow itself would also have a shadow.

In short, the guy running the fortune wheel is a cheating bastard. He looked fishy anyway.

[ManRammer]

I've been doing small and big bets. Noticing no change in amounts i bet. Just bet 1k stars, still won. Just wait until orange wins, after that i make my huge bets.

I am thinking, from a story perspective, assuming this guy is a con man (penny said she won 10 times on the wheel, and was banned for it - so assuming it is rigged in favor of green), then how would the customers be manipulated to pick orange most of the time. Even if 50% of customers pick orange he makes a profit. One thing is needed: autumn. You are literally surrounded by orange/red colors and pumpkins and all sorts of stuff in those colors. So that is how he is implanting the seed into his customers to pick orange on his wheel. Totally legit fanboy way of saying "wheel working as intended" xD ;D

[thickpilk]

I can confirm this. Of 68 spins, 47 were green, 21 were orange. I was able to easily gamble my way to buying everything at the shop.

[The Beast]

Guys this is based off your luck, talk to the fortune teller or watch her on tv. She will tell you what kind of day your having. You can also eat the lucky lunch to increase luck which will increase your win rate.

The game is 50/50 if your having a neutral day and do not eat any food that increases your luck. But there are 5 levels of luck you can have each day, the fortune teller will let you know. When you see her hold up the star then it is a very lucky day. If she holds up a red skull then is the a very unlucky day.

Also, if you have a rabbit's foot in your inventory then you get additional luck.

http://stardewvalleywiki.com/Luck

[robruckus65]

with random 50/50 chance things it is completely possible to spin it 100x and get 100 of the same color... flip a coin 100 times odds are it wont be really close to a perfect 50/50... then if you add in the games luck mechanics it will really skew the results...

[McGoodGreen]

Originally posted by SukmyBeast:

Also, if you have a rabbit's foot in your inventory then you get additional luck.

http://stardewvalleywiki.com/Luck

Pretty sure this is false. At the very least, it mentions nothing about it on the page you linked.

Also, interesting necro?

I bet on Green and often come out on top. But that is due to personal taste, not strategy, green is gorgeous and orange is ouch >.<

[Donathan Cheadledge]

http://stardewvalleywiki.com/Stardew_Valley_Fair

"At the Spinning Wheel, you can bet Star Tokens on whether the spinner will land on green or orange. Your chance of winning is affected by your in-game Luck. Overall, there is a mathematical advantage to choosing green: With minimum luck, choosing green still gives a 75% win-rate, versus 25% for orange. With maximum luck, choosing green approaches a 90% win-rate, whereas orange seems to cap out at around 80%"

Originally posted by SukmyBeast:

The game is 50/50 if your having a neutral day and do not eat any food that increases your luck.

please do not make up facts again

[YetiChow]

There's a guide which breaks down what's happening; but the short version is: yes the wheel favours green, and it's hard-rigged to never allow 3 orange results in a row.

So not only is betting on green a likely win; it's actually possible to guarantee a massive payout -- simply bet enough each time that you can afford to make it back with a bet of twice as much next time. So if you have 300 star tokens, bet 50 the first time around; if you win then start again at 50 but if you lose your next bet goes up to 100 (that way, you didn't "miss" a round when you lost). If you lose the second time, throw everything you have on green -- bet your house, your wife, your soul, all of it. The wheel is guaranteed to come up green if the preceeding two spins came up orange, so that third spin is just a big pile of free money waiting for someone to claim it.

There's seemingly no limit to the number of times in a row that green can come up; it's only orange which is rigged that way.