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There are various things that made me think this:
1. During Fall, Penny says with a sad face that the season is always difficult for her, but doesn't get into details. Other characters also get sad sometimes and talk about it (Kent's military service, Clint's loneliness, Shane's depression), but Penny doesn't get into details.
2. She's also sometimes seen sitting in a tree nearby the cemetery alone, close to the tombs.
3. Pam's alcoholism, which could been caused by the loss of someone close.
"I think that Mona is the mother of Jas , and the wife or possibly daughter of the Wizard . I was just on the wiki and I came across all of the lost books you need to return to the library , and some are signed M.Jasper ... I think that these books were written by Mona and I think that Jas stands for Jasper , I think that must of been Mona's middle name . Also I think Jas has some connection with the Wizard because in her room she has a Junimo colouring book and as we know the Wizard seems to understand them . "
(Source: https://www.reddit.com/r/StardewValley/comments/4amt1v/the_grave_of_mona/d4mzglc/)
And the other one that's less belivable to me but still makes somewhat sense.
"That is the wizard's daughter, and the mother of Jas and Shane.
Why? Wizard mentions he has a daughter in the town. Shane and Jas recently moved into Marnie's place. Both have purple hair - only the wizard and presumably his daughter share this trait. Abigail often stands by the grave - she's either important to Abigail... or she only recently died. (which would explain why the wizard thinks she lives in town)
And lastly... Check Jas' dollhouse's description.
This is all speculation though."
(Source: https://www.reddit.com/r/StardewValley/comments/4amt1v/the_grave_of_mona/d11rt11/?utm_content=permalink&utm_medium=front&utm_source=reddit&utm_name=StardewValley and a note: Jas and Shane are cousins, little mistake there.)
But i love the first theory, so my vote goes on it.
Abigail is the wizards daughter
No she isn't, Pierre is her father.