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Assuming number of casks is not an issue and all you want is maximum money per animal i think cows outperform goats every time?
EDIT: Faster money, not the most money. Looked at the math of just getting 103 iridium goat cheese every two weeks (amount of casks I have), assuming standard quality and artisan profession, you will get 108150g. So 432600 in 56 days. Starfruit wine will net 648900 in that time, and ancient fruit will net 475860. So unless you are using the two best wines in the game, cheese is better. And arguably only starfruit is the one that will win, since I assumed with this math every single goat cheese you got was standard and not gold quality cutting the time needed by half.
Note that we could allready sell the base items we are producing without improving them in cask.
Goat Cheese Normal: 375 gain over 14 days = 26.78 gold per day per cask
Goat Cheese Gold : 187 gain over 7 days = 26.71 gold per day per cask
Ancinet Fruit Wine : 2310 gain over 56 days = 41.25 gold per day per cask
Starfruit Wine : 3150 gain over 56 days = 56.25 gold per day per cask
Profit gain from cask over 56 days...
Goat Cheese : 1500 profit per cask. 195,000 per celler full
Ancient Fruit : 2310 profit per cask. 300,300 per celler full
Starfruit wine: 3150 profit per cask. 409,500 per celler full
Cask can only go in your basement, where you can fit about 100-130. So you need to produce 130 Ancient fruit or Starfruit over 56 days, or 1040 goat cheese (18 per day [3 barn full]) over 56 days. Any extra goat cheese or Wine you generate past that can be sold at its normal price without cask.
For Goat cheese this will probably all be used for cask aging. But for Wine you will be Creating at least 116 new Wines every 7 days, or about 928 in the time it takes for the cask to finish. Assuming 130 of that goes into the next batch of cask, thats another 798 wine you sell at base price in addition to the 130 irridium quiality wine.
Or about 3,332,700 million (130 irridium and 798 normal wine over 56 days) vs 780,000 (1040 irridium goat cheese over 56 days)
On the other hand... Keg
Ancinet Fruit: 1100 gain over 7 days = 157.14 gold per day per keg.
Hops: something something 135 gold per day per keg
So if you can generate surplus crops and didn't have room elsewhere, you could just build even more kegs in your celler... But you can probably find other spots on your farm to place more kegs.
Cheese makes sense though if you have your 3rd house upgrade but are only level 6 farming and don't have kegs yet.
Your argument that only starfruit and anceint fruit will win is totally true. Since they are both very late-game, and cheese is early game, you are right. Casking cheese is definitely one of the best ways to earn money early game. I think you can start this near the end of summer year 1, if you're fast, whereas you probably can't do the greenhouse/desert stuff until halfway year 2 (due to several difficult community bundle requirements)
I don't know about the cheese calculations, since I find tending to animals too much time consuming, boring, tedious, and generally not fun. xP
Except my for lovely void chickens and dinos. Please don't eat or curse me?
(to be honest, I cba with pale ale... too much of a hassle, gets done too quickly, hops grows everyday, and I can't do other stuff, like fishing or murdering stuff in the mine, in peace. xP)
But:
Not exactly. After the AF grows it already has the first batch of fruit, so apart from the very beginning when you need to wait a season for it to grow from seed it's 63 days, but that's a minor gripe.
Apart from the 63 days thing, you're wrong about not having the factories... If you were using kegs before, you didn't suddenly lose the ability to do so *and* you also have 812 "overflow" AF lying around (need to save the 8th batch for the next casking) every cycle.
You can even put hops into those kegs for the first week of the cycle, when AF is going into casks, not to lose the keg uptime.
Didn't really calculate the Starfruit path, but it also seems viable, probably better, since you can use kegs for pale ale while the starfruit is on "cooldown"...
To Velic Vorkhov: Yep, you're probably right, money wise, but mass animal production is much more of a hassle than just doing the AF greenhouse-kegs routine every week and every ~2 seasons plopping a batch into casks. It just saves so much rl time...
To Sunwave: The most optimal way to use casks, at least rl time vs. money is simple - don't. :P
My oppinion, anyway.
Also, it depends heavily on your playstyle.
If you enjoy/are willing to bear the husbandry part of the game, then cheese will be probably the best way, up until you get enough Starfruit seeds to switch completely to that.
If you prefer other aspects of the game, then the AF all the way, since it's a most hands off method presented here. Or switch to Starfruit after you get enough seeds.
Especially if you're a fanatic fisherman like me. I seriously need to stop placing fish collection chests. >,.,>
EDIT: a few typos and stuff
Dark, I'm assuming Platinum meant just for casking. Wine is obviously superior in the long run.
Also, hooray for fish collection chests. I have two o fthem. One for "everything from the ocean" including stuff found on the beach, and one for "everything else from the water". They're both nearly full, with stacks of 25 gold star fish of each type (except no-quality crabpot stuff, only one of each for the legendaries, and silver quality desert fish).
It tells you the quality, but I think you'll have to wait till it pops out anyway.
Too bad that gold star ancient fruits don't produce gold star wine. It would be faster to reach iridium star in the casks.