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No meteorite though...
1 fairy event.
2 witch events.
According to the wiki, the stone owl event has the lowest chance of being chosen, but this seems to be offset by more restrictive spawn conditions on the other events which can more frequently cause them to have no effect when they're chosen. For example, the stone owl requires a smaller suitable area to spawn than the meteorite (1 tile vs 2x2), and the strange capsule can only spawn once per save file.
I have a feeling the stone owl is actually the most common event after factoring in spawn conditions, at least in most cases.
Still, it predicted a meteor on my farm and I didn't get any, maybe because the area must be cleared and I have a lot of trees on some parts of my farm.
https://mouseypounds.github.io/stardew-predictor/