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It's not guaranteed that lightning will strike your rods either, just a very good chance.
You should regularly check the traveling cart too, because she can sell battery packs as well.
Had 4-5 storms per season, too.
Don't use rain totems the last day of the month. It won't work to cause rain on the 1st. I've never had them not work on other days, but I thought there was a chance they could fail.
This page from the wiki appears to give a look under the hood for weather. If it is correct then you can use this to understand what increases the chance for stormy weather.