Is the wheel of chance in the fair rigged?

[Marth Vader]

I managed to turn 100 stars into 9999 by only choosing green on the wheel of "chance". Am I just lucky or is that something behind the scenes at work?

[DarkStarKnight]

lucky

[dino_inc]

It's rigged slightly towards green at normal luck and skews heavily green on the most lucky days, so... yes, it's not a perfect 50/50. Go green every time (as you've figured out) and almost certainly come out ahead, every year.

[Lenneth]

I used to get green all the time, but in last three times, I only got orange. Whenever I didn't get what I choose, I restarted that day, and I ended up with the same color every time.

[Wai]

Rigged - not even slightly. odds 75% green 25% orange, That is noit to say, though, that you can't wipe your funds out in a few rolls. Odds don't change, so entirely possible to roll into orange 3, 4, 5 time in a row. Start with say 50 and place 10 per turn until say 100 then up your bet. Dangerous, but, next bet 50. If you win continue with 50 for a while. Then, up your bet again. You soon get the necessary stake.

[I Kinda Fail]

Unless they changed it, I remember people saying it was impossible to roll orange 3 times in a row. I always bet green either way, but my last fair, it was more 60/40 than 75/25. Bad luck, I guess.

[Wai]

Originally posted by I Kinda Fail:

Unless they changed it, I remember people saying it was impossible to roll orange 3 times in a row. I always bet green either way, but my last fair, it was more 60/40 than 75/25. Bad luck, I guess.

More than 3 orange in a row is, definately, possible - I have suffered it! Very frustrating.

Luck, try tossing a coin. 50/50 heads/tails. This does not mean that the odds change on each toss. No matter how many times you toss and how many times you get heads, the chance of throwing tails does not change, it remains 50/50. Or, put another way: How many large families do you know where all the children are the same sex? For me, I had seven sisters and one brother! Me, I have 5 sons and one daughter. Now, that is what I call bad luck! :) lol.

[Whirl]

If it is rigged, I can't say I mind. Makes it easier to get that Stardrop.

[Omaeka]

I put 5,000 tokens on orange before knowing about the green probability. Weirdly enough my butt clenched harder reading about the actual odds than it did placing the bet.

EDIT: I did win tho.

[Marth Vader]

Interesting how it works. If I remember, luck was at maximum the day of the fair, so it makes sense I rolled green each time. Kinda wish I knew about this before though, I've spent so much time at the fishing booth...

On another note, does anyone else think the slingshot game is pretty near impossible, or am I just really bad?

[Father Karamessos]

Just lost 10 times in a row on green...

[kingjames488]

it lands on orange first tho.