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http://stardewvalleywiki.com/Greenhouse#Fruit_Tree_Arrangement
In one game I bought 8 strawberry seeds the first spring festival and then planted them once I get the greenhouse. I used the seed maker to turn most of them into seeds and planted in large quantities (144 IIRC) the next spring. I don't recall what I did with the rest of the greenhouse. Probably cranberries and starfruit if I had the money.
In another game I went with some cranberry and some strawberry in the greenhouse until I got a hold of an ancient seed, and then did half ancient seeds and half starfruit.
Both starfruit and ancient fruit plants are valuable on their own, but if you are planning to go heavy into kegs then save them up until you get the kegs made. Starfruit wine is worth it even if you don't use casks. Aging in casks takes 2 months. You won't have enough casks to age all your wine.
I've never done hops in the greenhouse. Seems like it might be waste, but maybe not.
I don't say that to dissuade you. I have Starfruit in my Greenhouse while working on ancient fruit. Just wanted to give you a heads up so you can plan. Cranberries, blueberries, hops, ancient fruit all continue to produce over time.
And don't process Starfruit in them; Starfruit are so valuable that, even in the case of a no-quality one, you could just sell it, buy two seeds, and you'll still have a bit of gold left over.
Ancient Fruit aren't bad, but they're exceedingly slow. Say you have five seeds and plant them in your Greenhouse, it'll take a whole season to get your first five Fruits. You put those in the Seed Maker, get ten Seeds back, plant those and forget about them for another whole season. One month and one week after your initial planting, you get ten more seeds. One month and two weeks, ten more seeds. One month and three weeks, ten more. Half a year in, you start getting fifteen Fruits per harvest, but you still haven't filled even half of your Greenhouse with Ancient Fruit plants and you still haven't made a single gold back after all this time. Don't get into Ancient Fruit unless you're planning on a long playthrough.
Starfruit aren't anywhere as profitable in the long run, you can buy as many Starfruit seeds as you want as soon as you have access to the Desert and they only take two weeks to grow, so they'll start yielding gold much, much faster. However, since you have to re-plant every two weeks, they're more maintenance. Compared to fully grown Ancient Fruit, they only yield once per two weeks instead of once per week and they're only worth about 25% more. And yes, you need to continually obtain more seeds, which eats into your profits quite a bit.
Hops are very interesting. It takes 11 days for the plant to grow, but then you can harvest them every single day, forever! Once processed into Pale Ale, which is a rather short process (one or two days), it's worth 420g, so each Hops plant is theoretically worth close to 3,000g a week, which is actually significantly better than Ancient Fruit, even turned into Wine (2,310g a week). Arguably, Hops make the Ancient Fruit look like garbage, though of course it's a lot more maintenance since it needs to be harvested and processed every day. And you can't fill your Greenhouse with 116 Hops because the trellis would prevent harvest, so you have to go roughly 2/3 Hops and 1/3 something else at the most (though it seems you'd be fine with that).
Whatever you settle on is probably going to be fine. Some crops are better than others, but ultimately you can't "lose the game" so anything works.
Then again if I ever want to change that it isn't a big deal since Starfruit carry only one harvest.
I guess I'll fill the other half of my greenhouse with hops, which might take more than a few days since I only saved like 10 from the last season. If anything, it is Mid-Spring in my save file so I can just wait 2 weeks for summer and buy a bunch.
Oh and I feel kinda stupid for not remembering that seedmakers are super fast and made like 3 more of them. And I feel even stupider for not considering
Oh, and the following incomes listed are if you have only the lowest quality of wine/beer/whatever.
So the monthly profit of filling your entire greenhouse with starfruit and turning it all into wine is 638,000 gold. This is considering that you harvest them twice in a month, and subtracting the cost of buying all the starfruit seeds. This is obviously the most effort because starfruit do not have multiple harvests.
Now if you were to fill your entire greenhouse with just hops, the most spaces you could fill would be 79 out of 120 available spaces. The spaces that are not filled would be the room for you to walk and the four iridium sprinklers. Even with these 41 unusable spaces, you make about 929,040 a month if you turn all the hops into pale ale. This is not considering how much it would cost to buy the hops (7,200 gold) since the hop plants will keep producing forever. It would take a lot of effort to harvent all of them everyday, however.
If you were to fill your entire greenhouse with just ancient fruit and turned them all into wine you would make about 1,071,840 gold a month. There is no price of the seeds to consider because you can't buy ancent seeds unless you go to the traveling kart which is a hell of a lot of money. But this is the least amount of effort since you have to harvest hops everyday and you only have to harvest ancient fruit every 7 days.
Now, the difference between 1,071,849 and 929,040 isn't THAT much money. But it is crazy how much money hops still make even though you lose 41 spaces when putting them in a greenhouse. I'm probably gonna go with all hops since ancient seeds are rare and I do not have them yet.
Oh, yea one more thing. My math might be horribly wrong cuz I'm not in high levels of math class do please don't expect my calculations to be Einstein-quality.
I never did any math beyond the "weekly", but yours sounds about right.
Of course, with Hops, you don't need to waste the 41 spaces. You can still plant Starfruit and just walk through it. Once you add that to the million gold for Hops, it should come out way ahead, though again the Hops require daily harvesting and Kegs must be refilled quite often, so that's a lot of work.
Speaking of which, I wouldn't say that Starfruit are the most effort. You have to replant them every time, yes, but that's only twice a season. The soil will still be watered from the morning, so you just hold your seeds and walk around picking up Starfruit and planting the next batch at the same time. Also, having only two harvests a season leaves you more time to turn it into wine before the next batch comes, so you probably need fewer Kegs than with Ancient Fruit.
I'm sure I'll try the Hops in a Greenhouse at some point, but that'll be in a simpler playthrough where I don't bother with animals and other time-consuming routines.
TL:DR or if you don't understand:
I'm lazy and don't feel like making enough kegs to harvest all the hops into pale ale each day.
Instead I'll just go with all starfruit until I get ancient fruit, because starfruit's growth time is long enough to turn it into wine. It makes sense, hops grow much faster than they can be turned into pale ale, which will be overwhealming. Wine takes only half the time that starfruits grow, so I can turn all the starfruits into wine before the next harvest.
Ok so this is a full explaination of what I'm doing:
It's complicated, but basically I would have to make a ton, and I mean HUNDREDS of kegs in order to turn every single hops into wine. Because pale ale takes 1-2 days to make, I would have to make enough kegs for two days of harvest, which would be in the hundreds. I'll test it in game later to see if pale ale can be made in one day, but it's still a lot of effort to do so.
Now I'm probably going to go with starfruit because in the time that they grow, I can make just 58 kegs to harvest all 116 starfruit.
Every harvest in a full greenhouse is 116 plants.
Wine takes 7 days to make.
Starfruit takes 13 days to grow. (I'll add a 14th day to that by not planting my starfruit the same day I harvest)
So that way I can turn all of it into wine with just 58 kegs before I pick up the next harvest.
Now that is a lot of effort, but much less compared to hops. And 638,000 is more money than what I would make with half of 929,040 (what you would make with hops). Now of course I could turn every single one of my hops into pale ale everyday if I had a REDICULOUS amount of kegs. 58 kegs is going to be a lot to craft but it's less than what I'd have to do with hops.
Starfruit are super casual. It's just four days of work in the entire season, and two of those are extremely easy; you just walk next to your Kegs with Starfruit in your hand to collect the Wine and refill the Kegs at the same time. The two other days are the same except you have to harvest/replant, which is actually also very quick.
Either way you'll still get way more gold than you know what to do with.
I guess the Return Scepter is nice.
That said, I'm at a point in the game where more money is meh. I just play to chill out after a crappy day at work now and hang out in my cozy home with best girl Penny. I guess if you need quicker income, go with Cranberries.