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Also I think he caused the fire that burned her, he started as an workoholic and turned into an alcoholic, one point in the game I think it even trying to tell that he hit the daughter ( when you find the whiskey bottle and he says it's "daddys medicine". Wife tried to leave, he would abuse her so she chose death. He found them dead and became insane and delusional, that's why when he paints his wife, even tho that the painting is fine, he still her as scarred from the fire and starts again, loop of insanity and delusions.
Feel free to correct me guys, it's just my assumptions :)
Edit: I just reminded myself about the good bye note to the daughter :P
Not bad conclusions!
For me at the moment when I'm finishing my second playthrough and found almost every note my conclusion is this: Wife killed herself. She left a note to their daughter asking for forgiveness and said her goodbyes. Voice also says that "we won't talk anymore". By hearing what she says when you find her items throughout the game I think ultimately she killed herself because she was depressed and jealous over the painting of herself. In the painting she is still her old self without the scars and all that she got from the fire. When you find the necklace she says that the thing or person she is jealous at is "eternal" which made me think this.
Also I really think that the daughter is alive finding the newsclipping saying that the painter lost her in a hearing of somekind (can't remember word from word, will check the clipping again later). He tried to kidnap the girl at somepoint and when she was taken away he says that "she is the only thing I have". This was in the same clipping about the kidnapping.
He is haunted by images of his wife and his subconcious for all the things he had done. He takes parts of his dead wife to infuse into the painting of her to make it more real and in sadness trying to bring her back somehow. He finishes the painting but sees that nothing can bring her back and in his grief he throws the painting away and burns them all. He decides to stay with his "wife" and die in the fire with her.
In the looping corridor you hear the painters side of the phonecall where he is told that his wife is in the hospital and the painter is shocked by this. This makes me believe that he didn't cause the fire, at least not on purpose.
Thank you if you finished this textwall lol, I like story theorizing!