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Een vertaalprobleem melden
Particularly:
- “ [APFSDS] have superior first-shot hit probability, and superior post-perforation effect”
- “ penetration [by HEAT] led to much less damage than APDSFS and seldom led to fires"
- “ during the Iran-Iraq war, 70% of the hits recorded on Iranian Chieftain main battle tanks were 115mm APFSDS rounds, proving that it was the preferred ammunition type”
(The last sentence is from another part of article, one talking about APFSDS)
in game test, entrenched Chieftain vs attacking T-62, 2000m
14 HEAT fired, 7 hits, 1870~2000m, strictly 50% hit probablity.
stationary T-62 vs attacking Chieftain, 2000m
29 HEAT fired, 8 hits+ 1 near miss kill (???), ~30% hit probability.
4 APFSDS fired, 3 hits
Near miss kill: a HEAT round blasts aflame this poor Chieftain through its 15mm bottom.
https://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=2939038036
It seems to me or in this article there are 2 contradictory statements at the distance of the 1st paragraph from each other? :)
Further more - if we look closely at the British report on the Chieftains (not as superficially as in the article), we will suddenly see that the probability of penetrating (the ratio of penetrations to hits) of the Chieftain with a HEAT projectile is 39/44 ~ 0.9, but with an APDS projectile only 71/88 ~ 0.8. And it turns out, whatever one may say, the HEAT projectile is more effective.
What hints to us that AI in the game can be smarter than a person in terms of which shell should be chosen.
This may also indicate that, for example, HEAT shells were simply not brought (there were few).
Or the tankers might not have had enough shooting training experience, so they fired a projectile with a flatter trajectory because it was easier for them to hit and, in fact, they did not need to enter and determine the distance.
We do not know, therefore there is no point in making such a one-sided conclusion - that preferred means better
And I would not interfere in the general pile of everything. The findings of the British commission on Iranian tanks are quite unusual. And they are somewhat at odds with the practice of using HEAT projectiles during WW2, and in some other conflicts (why in Angola HEAT projectiles from Ratel-90 led to the fires of T-55 tanks, but in Iran HEAT projectiles from T-62 did not lead to fires in Chieftains). There can be a lot of different explanations for this. But the probability that in Iran in a particular battle the laws of physics have changed and the HEAT projectiles began to work differently than before, I estimate as equal to 0. But unfortunately, there is very little information on events in Iran, and it is not clear how to solve this riddle.
So what's the conclusion?
Does the low accuracy of HEAT shell makes sense though? They site 20% at 1.5km (low speed + imprecise rangefinder)?
low accuracy of _FIRST ROUND HIT_, not low accuracy itself
In post #17 there is a certain (albeit incorrect from the science point of view) test. And there, we see that in order to hit from 2 km into a stationary target T62 requires from 1 to 7 HEAT shells, i.e. somewhere a little more than 3 on average.
lol. The first test on entrenched Chieftain looks like this: 1 hit, 1 miss... 14 shots in a row. (I really mean "strictly 50%".) Yes, a first round HEAT hit on a 2000m entrenched Chieftain. Never imagined this in SABOW. Lucky man.
The first round hit probability on moving target is more or less close to 20%.
"But there is also a table right there where the % of the defeat (kill) of the tank when hit by different types of shells for the t-62. And there for some reason both types give 70+% Moreover, for HEAT it is 4% more!
Further more - if we look closely at the British report on the Chieftains (not as superficially as in the article), we will suddenly see that the probability of penetrating (the ratio of penetrations to hits) of the Chieftain with a HEAT projectile is 39/44 ~ 0.9, but with an APDS projectile only 71/88 ~ 0.8. And it turns out, whatever one may say, the HEAT projectile is more effective."
if we do not take a "muddy" criteria like "tankers love to shoot APDC more than HEAT". I think, according to such reasoning, tankers love beer even more, and we can assume that beer is a much more effective shell than both HEAT and APDS.
The question is closed?
20% of the probability of the first hit implies that can hit with a 1st roundl and not hit the second. You somehow very freely operate and compare completely unrelated things.
Your 50% means that in 1 test of 14 shots, 7 hits were received and nothing more. They cannot be compared with 20% of first hit probability, these are generally unrelated things.
No, these are measurements of different probabilities. The probability of the 1st hit in a stationary target cannot be obtained in any way know how many shells out of 29 hit into a moving target (or 14 to stationary) in 1 test. This requires a fundamentally different test, with at least 10 repetitions.
In order to get 1st hit probability from 29 (14) shots, we must be sure that they are not related, i.e. that after the 1st shot, the sight does not change and the accuracy does not increase. Obviously this is not the case.
Ran 25 tests: lone enemy T-62 advancing towards a line of my chieftains (I turned off fire at will so they don't interfere). First shot was fired between 1810 and 1559 meters, 1697 avg, 61 stddev. In 60% of these tests, the shot hit the target. What I didn't do is check that it was a HEAT round fired _every_ time, but whenever I did check, it was HEAT. This was on the snow map (Shefatov, but I don't think it would affect first shot accuracy)
Both tanks generally hit each other, HEAT shell is better and igniting Chieftan. Chieftan's shells damage parts of the T-62 and kill crew but require multiple hits to stop them from firing. Result the Chieftans are destroyed faster and require more hits to destroy the T-62s so often lose.
Now we need to get the "second point" and, better, the 3rd one, i.e. the probability of 1st round hit for some other tank / gun and in order to get a dependence in the form of a certain functional relation. In general, it would be nice to find out how 20% for the T-62 was obtained.
Unfortunately, this document does not disclose the secret of obtaining 20% for the T-62. And there are some dubious graphs, and everything looks like they were trying to pretend that the M60A1 is at least somehow better than the T-62.