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The Lich was originally the first person to defeat the Gungeon, that is certain (RIddle of Lead, the Hero Statue, and the appearance of the Lich phase 1). However, it seems that Kaliber turned the individual into the Lich, as opposed to him being the Lich beforehand (IE the Shelletons, similar to phase 3, being bound by a "Dark Power", similar to the "dark power" of the Kill Pillars, which the last one is a statue of Kaliber. These lead to the assumption that the Lich is equally bound / controlled by Kaliber, as well as the Statue being that of a man, not that of the Lich; he came in mortal.)
While the Wizard and the Hero could be the same, the disappearance of the Wizard could equally be due to the creation / use of the Gun, paradoxes aside. The Hero could be just a random hardcore Joe who wanted to change his past.
I would assume that the Lich was in fact cursed by Kaliber into becoming the Lich, then bound to Bullet Hell; it would explain the entrapment, the result of the jealousy, and why his forms are quite monstrous and similar to the form of Bullet Hell (Phase 2), as they are of the same origin. It would also explain how, on defeat, his life is "reset" by the Gun and why he seems more human once defeated; the curse is broken, he can die and challenge the Gungeon again, much like every other character upon death.
Of course, I love the idea of a cursed hero instead of a cursed "villain" of sorts, which warps my judgement, but I really would like to see him as a character, changing his past to defeat Kaliber; While he cannot change the past prior to the Gun's creation or something along that line (according to the Blacksmith), he could return to its creation and have a REAL showdown, theoretically.
Edit: The Lich being an undead mage could easily be attributed to Kaliber's magic, as the Old King is equally undead / "lives on forever", though the Crestfallen Undead sort of fellow in the Breach says he (Old King) is dead, doesn't he? The same individual says that Kaliber is behind much of the happenings in the Gungeon (Kill Pillars) and seems very unhappy upon the defeat of the Lich, possibly meaning he has knowledge of his past or is frustrated by Kaliber, or any number of things.
About the Gun the blacksmith refers to, it is very possible that it's the Gun that can Kill the Past, but it also has a possibility of being the Gun that shot the Great Bullet, which can, though, be wrong, of course, which would lead to another theory i'm currently thinking about (gotta use my free time).
Although the idea of the Lich turnining into a playable character is very cool, it sounds like something for a DLC, if not, it's pretty Unlikely that it will be added. (But who knows? maybe the Devs will give us that gift)
Thank you for adding to the thread! i'll edit the what i said about the Gun, showing that its a lot more likely that it refers to the Gun that can Kill the Past
Forgot to address: While it can be argued that the Lich caused the temporal anomaly that traps people within the Gungeon, it can be argued that it was instead Kaliber and the existence of the Gungeon itself; an "all or nothing" sort of deal, exactly like what the Hero statue says; Kill your Past, you've already damned your future. It could also be argued that the creation of the Gun itself caused a temporal break from the rest of the world, allowing for people to technically live unlimited lives, such as how they are doing within, though all of this is conjecture at best. There is not enough information on the Ledge Goblin's time skipping phomena to attribute it correctly to anything.
I thought you meant that the Lich was it beforehand because of the "immortality from the last floor" bit. If so, he would have had to have been a Revolvenant, taking the first steps towards Lichdom, right?
I assume by the "sudden" transformation that it was due to Kaliber, as otherwise he would've had to have been pretty warped beforehand, which isn't evident from the Hero Statue.
About what you said that the Dark Power is related to Kaliber, the ammonicon entry for the shelletons points that its actually related to the Lich (which used magic before he became a immortal being cursed by Kaliber
Interesting bit about the Revolvenants; just opened up the game to browse the ammonomicon.
I do wonder whether Kaliber would have cursed everyone connected to the Lich, though. Pure conjecture.
I dont think Kaliber comes as far as to hate anyone connected to The Lich
It also may be interesting to point out that:
1st: Skullets are reanimated by revolvenants (based on the ammonicon entry)
2nd: Gummies and Spents lived at the same age that the Old King ruled
That means that the Gungeon existed for a LONG time. So, Cadence and the Blacksmith are VERY old, and dont age up
I always assumed the Wizard was corrupted by Kaliber, as the Kill Pillars and his third phase have similar eyes (until his final phase is defeated). I assumed it was indicative of him being 'cursed' in some way until his defeat, at which point the "reset" kicks in.
The Theory that the Lich is saved from the curse and is reset is the one i believe too.
I think that the castle had 4 chambers (the Hollow is basically a bullet graveyard, which i find unlikely to be present in the Wizard's castle (the gundead didnt even exist before the Bullet struck) And the Bullet Hell is acessed by a anomaly, so i dont think it was present in the Wizards castle) the Bullet probably had the 4th and 6th chambers? i dunno. even the game doesnt say much about this.
I'd also like to point that the Kill Pillar's final phase is, indeed, like you said, A statue of Kaliber (Shambling Round's ammonicon entry confirms that). The Statues are apparently modified each time one of the other statues is destroyed (The soul possessing the previous statue goes to the remaining statues, increasing their power) that means that the statue of kaliber is formed when the 4 Bullet Heroes' souls are together. I think that means something, but i dont have an idea of that it is.